Bryce Harper Home Run Derby Odds: Stats, Props, HR Derby History
Bryce Harper returns to the Home Run Derby in Philadelphia with a chance to deliver another hometown-style moment. The Phillies star won the 2018 Derby in Washington and now gets another massive crowd behind him at Citizens Bank Park.
Peter Alexis - July 13, 2026, 4:32 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadBryce Harper Home Run Derby Odds: Will Bryce Harper Win Second HR Derby in Front of Philly Crowd?
Bryce Harper competes in the 2026 Home Run Derby on Monday, July 13, at 8 PM ET in Philadelphia. The Phillies first baseman enters with 20 home runs this season and is making his third career Derby appearance.
Harper’s Derby history is stronger than his current odds suggest. He finished runner-up in 2013 and won the 2018 Derby at Nationals Park, using the crowd and late-round momentum to beat Kyle Schwarber in the final.
MLB Home Run Derby Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, July 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Netflix
Click here for complete Home Run Derby Odds
Bryce Harper Home Run Derby Odds Breakdown
Bryce Harper Winner Odds (+900) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Harper is +900 to win the Derby, making him a midrange price despite his prior title and home-field advantage. The number reflects that he is not the top raw-power hitter in this field, but his experience, rhythm and crowd connection make him a dangerous tournament player.
Bryce Harper Round 1 Total Homers (Over 8.5 -130 / Under 8.5 +110)
Harper’s Round 1 total is set at 8.5, with the over priced at -130. He is also +550 to hit the most home runs in Round 1. That is an interesting split: the market expects him to clear a modest total, but does not view him as likely to lead the field unless he taps into the same late-round burst that carried him in 2018.
Bryce Harper to Have Highest Exit Velocity HR Odds (+1500)
Harper is +1500 to hit the highest exit velocity home run, the longest price among these four profiles. His hardest-hit home run this season reached 113.5 mph, but this field has multiple hitters priced as stronger pure exit-velocity threats. Harper’s case is more about timing and repeatability than winning the hardest-hit ball market.
Bryce Harper to Have Longest Home Run Odds (+2000)
Harper is +2000 to hit the longest home run of the Derby. His longest homer this season traveled 457 feet, and his previous Derby success came more through volume, adrenaline and dramatic sequencing than owning the biggest distance shot of the night. At this price, he is a narrative longshot rather than a distance favorite.
Bryce Harper to Make The Semifinals (+100)
Harper is even money to make the semifinals. That is a fair price because he only needs a top-four Round 1 total, and his over 8.5 juice suggests the market expects a solid opening round. The question is whether solid is enough in a field with Schwarber, Caminero, Murakami and several other high-end power bats.
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