Team USA Basketball Odds: USA Men's Basketball Given 87% Chance to Advance to Gold Medal Game

The latest odds for Team USA's Olympic semifinal matchup against Australia has the United States as a massive favorite. Tom Viera breaks down everything you need to know about USA vs. Australia odds
Tom Viera
Wed, August 4, 10:13 AM EDT

Men's Olympic Basketball Odds: USA Men's Basketball Given 87% Chance to Advance to Gold Medal Game

  • Men's Olympic Basketball Odds
  • Team USA vs Australia Results
  • United States Men's Basketball a -670 favorite

As it often the case when USA basketball is on the international stage they are heavily favorites. Heading into the Olympics the men's basketball team is often a sure fire bet to bring home the gold. In the professional era, the team won the Olympic gold medal in 1992, 1996, 2000, 2008, 2012, and 2016. Team USA are the three-time defending gold-medal winner.

Off to a shaky start in these Tokyo Olympics and following a disappointing 7th place finish in the 2019 FIBA Word Cup, their worse finish ever in an international tournament, this team has something left to prove.

In the quarterfinal Team USA overcame another slow start against Spain thanks to Kevin Durant, advancing to the Olympic men's basketball semifinal to face Australia. Kevin Durant continues building his case to go down as the best Olympic basketball player of all time. His length and shooting ability makes him overwhelming for other countries to guard. His shooting prowess helped Team USA overcome a 10-point deficit to beat Spain 95-81

Durant scored 29 points with 13 coming in the third quarter. This Olympics Durant has already passed Carmelo Anthony as the leading scorer in men's Olympic history and is on a quest to match Anthony's three gold medals.

Olympic Men's Basketball: USA vs. Australia Odds

Is this the possibly the first time since the 2004 Olympics in Athens that USA Men's basketball doesn't bring home Gold?

Team USA basketball got off to an auspicious start in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics when they lost to France 83-76 in their opening game. It marked their first loss in the Olympic games since 2004 when they won the Bronze medal. Just as they did in those 2004 Olympics Team USA suffered losses early on.

Jayson Tatum has proven to be a weapon off of the bench as a scorer. He contributed 13 points in the 4th quarter to help overcome Spain in the quarterfinals.

In an exhibition game back in June, Team USA lost to Australia 91-83 in Las Vegas. It marked the second loss in a row now to Australia as they now face each other in the semifinal round of the Olympics.

Still, the latest Team USA vs. Australia odds have the United States as massive 12-point favorites with the point spread and -667 favorites on the moneyline.

Australia has seven new players and have changed coaches twice in the past two years. Their best player, Ben Simmons, chose not to play in the Olympics.

The days of Team USA being able to go out and win on a bad day with an average performance are behind us. The number of countries that now boast a starting lineup filled out by NBA players are here. Australia has NBA players Patty Mills, Joe Ingles, Matthew Dellavedova, Matthias Thybulle, Aaron Baynes, and Dante Exum.

Team Semifinal ML Odds Implied
USA -667 87%
Australia +550 15.4%

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Olympic Men's Basketball Odds: Gold Medal Odds

Going into the semifinals of the 2021 Olympics, the top favorites are USA, France, Slovenia, and Australia

Team USA is still the favorite to win Gold at -280.

Team USA -280

Slovenia +475

France +800

Australia +1100

Men's Olympic Basketball Schedule

Preliminary Rounds

Saturday July 24

Group A: Czech Republic 84, Iran 78

Sunday July 25

Group B: Italy 92, Germany 82

Group B: Australia 84, Nigeria 67

Group A: France 83, United States 76

Monday July 26

Group C: Slovenia 118, Argentina 100

Group C: Spain 88, Japan 77

Tuesday July 27

Group B: Germany 99, Nigeria 92

Wednesday July 28

Group A: United States 120, Iran 66

Group B: Australia 86, Italy 83

Group A: France 97, Czech Republic 77

Thursday July 29

Group C: Slovenia 116, Japan 81

Group C: Spain 81, Argentina 71

Friday July 30

Group A: France 79, Iran 62

Saturday July 31

Group B: Italy 80, Nigeria 71

Group B: Australia 89, Germany 76

Group A: United States 119, Czech Republic 84

Sunday Aug. 1

Group C: Argentina 97, Japan 77

Group C: Slovenia 95, Spain 87

Olympic Quarterfinals

Monday, Aug. 2

Slovenia 94, Germany 70

Tuesday, Aug. 3

United States 95, Spain 81

France 84, Italy 75

Australia 97, Argentina 59

Olympic Semifinals

Thursday, Aug. 5

United States vs. Australia (12:15 a.m. ET)

France vs. Slovenia (7:00 a.m. ET)

Medal Round

August 6-7

Gold-medal and bronze-medal games

Team USA Roster - Men's Basketball

Bam Adebayo, Miami Heat

Devin Booker, Phoenix Suns

Kevin Durant, Brooklyn Nets

Jerami Grant, Detroit Pistons

Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors

Jrue Holiday, Milwaukee Bucks

Keldon Johnson, San Antonio Spurs

Zach LaVine, Chicago Bulls

Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers

JaVale McGee, Denver Nuggets

Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks

Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics

*Bradley Beal and Kevin Love were previously on the roster, but Beal was forced out due to COVID-19 protocols and Love withdrew from the roster after training camp and early exhibition games. They were replaced by Johnson and McGee.*

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