2025 NBA Western Conference Finals Series Odds: Timberwolves vs. Thunder Total Games, Series Props for WCF
The Western Conference Finals have arrived, with the Oklahoma City Thunder coming in as a major favorite. No one is surprised to see them, but the Minnesota Timberwolves had to pull a few upsets on the other side. Jason Radowitz previews this Timberwolves vs. Thunder WCF series ahead of Tuesday night's Game 1.
Jason Radowitz - May 20, 2025, 6:00 PM EDT
5 min2025 NBA Western Conference Finals Series Odds: Timberwolves vs. Thunder Total Games, Series Props for WCF
We're down to just four teams left in the NBA Playoffs.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are probably the only unsurprising team in the Final Four of the NBA Playoffs.
The Thunder have easily been the best team in the Western Conference this year behind likely MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. They're a deep team with lots of scoring potential between SGA, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams.
However, Anthony Edwards has carried the Minnesota Timberwolves into back-to-back Western Conference Finals. Many people believe he's the one player who can become the next best player for this era.
This won't be a cakewalk for the Thunder at all.
Let's discuss the current Western Conference odds before tonight's first game.
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2025 NBA Western Conference Finals Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder (-375) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (+300) Series Odds
The Denver Nuggets took the Oklahoma City Thunder to seven games. Why can't the Timberwolves do that, too?
Minnesota is currently on a four-game winning streak after knocking off the Golden State Warriors in five games. Yes, they took advantage of Stephen Curry's injury. But that doesn't mean the Timberwolves don't deserve to be here.
Anthony Edwards has carried this team to back-to-back Western Conference Finals. Their trade with the Knicks added some depth, and other players have improved.
The Timberwolves have held playoff opponents to 108.2 points per 100 possessions. They're hard to score on, and the Thunder don't add many offensive rebounds or get to the foul line at a high rate.
On the other hand, the Thunder have limited teams to 103.9 points per 100 possessions in the postseason. They'll likely add more turnovers and should also be able to force tough shots. However, the Timberwolves have gained 33.7% of offensive rebounds per game and should see the foul line just as much as the Thunder.
This is going to be a defensive showdown. But the team with more possessions per game will likely win as long as Minnesota needs to keep turnovers down and take more shots. That'll give them more opportunities for second chances and could help them secure an NBA Finals bid.
I won't pass up Minnesota at +300 odds.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Over 5.5 (-140) or Under 5.5 Games (+114)
I stated above that I thought this game could get to seven games. The Timberwolves are super underrated, have plenty of depth, and have a good veteran presence.
Meanwhile, the Thunder had some really good blowout wins in that series, but they were also forced to play seven games against the Nuggets. Ultimately, the Thunder are the better team, but the Timberwolves are more rested and have guys who have been to this stage before.
The Over 5.5 (-140) is the play for me.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Series Player Props: Julius Randle Top Scorer (+2200)
Julius Randle scored 25.2 points per game in a five-game series against the Warriors. He didn't quite beat Anthony Edwards, who scored 26.2 points per game. However, Randle was more consistent. Edwards shot 50% or lower in three of those five games.
On the other hand, Randle shot at least 52.4% in three of the five games and closed out Game 5, hitting 13-of-18 from the field in 43 minutes. In addition, Randle scored at least 29 points in each of the last two games to will the Timberwolves past the Warriors. Randle even scored more points in each of the last two games than Edwards.
It's worth a flyer, especially if I've got the Timberwolves earning a seven-game series upset against the Thunder.
NBA ODDS
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