Women's NCAA Tournament Odds: Can Anyone Stop Dominant UConn Huskies in Women's March Madness?
The Women's NCAA Tournament has reached the Sweet 16, and the UConn Huskies have been blowing away opponents. As the action tightens, can Texas or South Carolina challenge them? Peter Alexis breaks down the Women's March Madness title odds entering the back half of the tournament on March 27th.
Peter Alexis - March 27, 2026, 11:35 AM EDT
4 Minute ReadWomen's March Madness Odds: UConn Huskies Massive Favorite to Repeat as National Champions Entering Sweet 16
The women’s NCAA Tournament heads into the Sweet 16 on Friday, and the title market still runs straight through UConn. The Huskies opened the tournament as the clear favorite, and that has barely changed as they now sit at -260 to win it all. That kind of price is rare this deep into a bracket with several heavyweights still alive, but UConn has looked every bit the part, rolling through the opening weekend and continuing to separate itself from the rest of the field.
What makes UConn’s standing even more impressive is that their main competitors are all still around. UCLA, South Carolina, Texas, and LSU all survived the first two rounds, which means the market has not shortened dramatically simply because of outside chaos. Instead, UConn remains overwhelming chalk because of how dominant it has looked, with the belief that the Huskies likely will not face a true threat until the Final Four.
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Women's NCAA Tournament Champion Odds
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Women's NCAA Tournament Champion Odds Breakdown
UConn Huskies (-250)
UConn has done exactly what a title favorite is supposed to do. The Huskies opened with a 90-52 win over UTSA and followed that by destroying Syracuse 98-45 in the second round. They are now 36-0, riding a massive winning streak, and once again look like the most complete team left in the field. Azzi Fudd’s 34-point explosion against Syracuse only added to the sense that this team has another gear most opponents simply cannot reach.
The biggest reason UConn is such a strong favorite is how balanced it is. The Huskies defend at an elite level, force turnovers in bunches, and have multiple stars capable of taking over games. With North Carolina next in the Sweet 16, UConn is stepping up in class, but the path still feels manageable compared with what other contenders may have to face. At this point, anything short of a Final Four appearance would feel shocking.
UCLA Bruins (+550)
UCLA remains the second choice on the board at +550, and the Bruins have looked plenty dangerous through two rounds. They advanced to the Sweet 16 after a commanding 87-68 win over Oklahoma State, with Lauren Betts scoring 35 points in a performance that reminded everyone just how difficult UCLA can be when its interior game is rolling.
The upside here is obvious. UCLA has enough size, talent, and scoring punch to beat anyone left in the bracket, which is why the Bruins are still priced as UConn’s top challenger. The concern is that the road only gets harder now, and unlike UConn, UCLA may have to survive more resistance before reaching the final weekend. Still, if Betts continues to dominate inside, the Bruins are one of the few teams with a real chance to go shot-for-shot with the top favorite.
South Carolina Gamecocks (+850)
South Carolina is sitting at +850, and the Gamecocks remain very much in the title mix after a dominant opening weekend. They blasted their way into the Sweet 16 with a 101-61 win over USC, getting 23 points from Joyce Edwards and another physically imposing performance around the rim. This is still a team with championship DNA and the kind of frontcourt strength that can wear opponents down over 40 minutes.
The question for South Carolina is whether the offense can consistently hit the level needed to beat teams like UConn or UCLA in the final stages. The Gamecocks are more than talented enough to reach Tampa, but unlike the Huskies, they do not feel quite as automatic possession to possession. Even so, with Dawn Staley’s track record and a roster full of high-level athletes, South Carolina remains one of the strongest threats on the board.
Texas Longhorns (+850)
Texas shares the same +850 price as South Carolina and heads into the Sweet 16 after two emphatic wins. The Longhorns opened by crushing Missouri State 87-45, then turned around and demolished Oregon 100-58 in the second round. Madison Booker’s 40-point eruption against Oregon was one of the most impressive individual performances of the tournament so far and a reminder that Texas has a true star capable of carrying a title run.
Texas has the profile of a real champion candidate because the Longhorns can beat teams in multiple ways. They defend, they force turnovers, and Booker gives them a go-to scorer who can completely flip a game. The path gets tougher now, but if Texas keeps getting this kind of two-way performance, the Longhorns absolutely belong in the same tier as the top contenders.
LSU Tigers (+2500)
LSU rounds out this group at +2500, and that number feels more like respect for upside than a belief they are on the same level as the top four. Still, the Tigers have looked outstanding in the tournament. They advanced to a fourth straight Sweet 16 by obliterating Texas Tech 101-47, the kind of result that forces people to take them seriously again. Flau’Jae Johnson and Mikaylah Williams both scored 24 in that rout, and LSU’s offensive ceiling looked enormous.
The challenge for LSU is the path ahead. The Tigers now draw Duke in the Sweet 16, and deeper in the bracket the matchups only get more demanding. LSU is dangerous because it can score in waves and has enough athletes to overwhelm teams when it gets rolling, but at +2500, the market is telling you it still sees a meaningful gap between the Tigers and the four teams above them. LSU has the talent to make noise, but it likely needs to prove a little more before being viewed as a true co-favorite.
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