Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje Odds: Betting Public Massively Backing Gaethje to Pull Upset at UFC 274
Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje Odds: Betting Public Massively Backing Gaethje to Pull Upset at UFC 274
Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds hit a little bit of a snag Friday afternoon when defending champions Charles Oliveira missed weight for the lightweight championship bout.
Since then, we've seen some interesting movement in Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds, as Gaethje's odds have begun to shorten.
In the end, the lightweight championship has been vacated. Justin Gaethje still wins the lightweight title if he is victorious in the UFC 274 main event, but if Oliveira wins then there will be no lightweight tile holder for the time being.
In theory, this should mean absolutely nothing for Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds. Both these men will be giving everything they have tonight to try and win in front of millions of spectators. But, what do the odds have to say about the bout.
Well, it's an interesting piece of data. While the sportsbooks have Oliveira as the favorite, the betting public is heavily behind Gaethje, especially when it comes to the money wagered on this fight.
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Charles Oliveria vs. Justin Gaethje Odds
| Fighter | UFC 274 Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Oliveira | -134 | 57.3% |
| Justin Gaethje | +125 | 44.4% |
Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds are just about as close as they can get, and for good reason. Between the two of them, they have lost one fight in the last four years, and it was Gaethje's loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov, one of the greatest lightweights of all time.
But, one thing the Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds don't tell you is how different these two fighters are.
Justin Gaethje is a powerful striker. Sure, he's also an extremely talented wrestler and grappler, but he's made a name for himself in the past few years and a KO artist.
As for Oliveira, he has a good stand-up game as well, but he's the submission king. No, really. He holds the record for most submission victories in the UFC.
Between the clash of styles and the drama with Oliveria not making weight, it seems a though oddsmakers don't know which way to go with this fight.
The latest Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds have Oliveira as a -134 favorite while Gaethje sits as a +125 dog.
Charles Oliveria vs. Justin Gaethje Odds - Recent Betting Data
| Fighter | Public Betting % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Oliveria | 41% | 29% |
| Justin Gaethje | 59% | 71% |
It's interesting to see Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds so close but the betting so far apart as 59% of bets and a whopping 71% of the money is on Gaethje to win the lightweight title.
Usually, when there is such a large discrepancy between the percentage of bets and the percentage of money on a single side, like there is with Gaethje, it can mean that sharp, or professional, bettors are backing that side.
So, should you be backing Justin Gaethje in the Charles Oliveira vs. Justin Gaethje odds battle? It certainly looks like it.