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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos Odds: Shevchenko Given 85.5% Chance to Win at UFC 275

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds and betting breakdown for their UFC 275 matchup. Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds have always favored the champ, but recently they've begun to shift.
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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos Odds: Shevchenko Given 85.5% Chance to Win at UFC 275

There hasn't been a ton of hype around Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds leading up to UFC 275. That's largely because Shevchenko's odds opened at a whopping -900, not exactly indicating a great matchup.

However, in the past week or so, the Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds have gotten much shorter. Sure, Valentina Shevchenko is still a massive favorite, but he odds have begun to lengthen as Saturday's fight gets closer.

As for Taila Santos, at 19-1 in her career, this is her first co-main event appearance and there is bound to be a learning curve her first time fighting in prime time.

Still, even though Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds heavily favor the champion Shevchenko, there have been no shortage of bets tailing Taila Santos as she's the more-backed fighter for this UFC 275 co-main event.

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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos Odds

FighterOddsImplied Probability
Valentina Shevchenko-58985.5%
Taila Santos+49016.9%

Click here for the latest Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds are clearly still favoring Shevchenko pretty heavily, but what was once a -900 favorite is now down to -589. Still, at -589 the latest odds are implying a massive 85.5% chance she comes out on top.

Shevchenko is the cream of the crop when it comes to the women's UFC. She is the top ranked pound-for-pound fighter in the company and hasn't lost since 2017. Who did that 2017 loss come to? None other than the GOAT Amanda Nunes. So, if Santos is going to pull off the upset she's going to need to show up on Saturday night.

As for Santos, she's no slouch, which is probably why the latest Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos odds are moving in her favor. She comes into the co-main event as a +490 underdog, but she hasn't lost a fight since her UFC debut in 2019.

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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Taila Santos Odds - Betting Breakdown

FighterBets %Handle %
Valentina Shevchenko22%42%
Taila Santos78%58%

As you can see above, the heavy majority of bets are on Taila Santos to deliver Valentina Shevchenko her first loss in four years. But, there are a few reasons why the betting looks like it does, and it probably isn't because most people think the champ is going to lose.

For starters, when you have a fighter opening at -900 there are very few people that are willing to lay that kind of juice. So, the majority of people stay away from the fight or throw a small wager down on the dog.

That brings us to our second point, which is the fact that the money is so much closer than the amount of wagers probably means that there is a lot of sharp money on Shevchenko. Just because 78% of the bets are on Santos doesn't mean the betting public is necessarily onto something.

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Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.

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