Oscars Odds: Bettors Backing Viola Davis for Best Actress

Is Viola Davis going to take home the award for Best Actress at this year's Oscars?
Brian Good
Sat, April 24, 1:15 PM EDT

Oscars Odds: Bettors Backing Viola Davis for Best Actress

Unlike the Best Actor category, which is all but decided as Chadwick Boseman’s Oscar to lose, the award for Best Actress at the 2021 Oscars is truly up for grabs.

There are five nominees to take home the Best Actress Oscar on Sunday, all of which are odds-off, and four of the candidates have odds between +125 and +600. With that kind of clumping within the market, it’s important to look at the public betting data to see where the money is.

And, with 24 hours left until the 2021 Oscars get underway, Viola Davis is the favorite option among bettors.

So, let’s take a look at the odds throughout the Best Actress category, who else has received a large portion of bets and where you can expect the Oscar to go tomorrow night.

2021 Oscars: Best Actress Odds

The favorite to win the Best Actress award at the 2021 Oscars is Carey Mulligan for her role as Cassie Thomas in Promising Young Woman. Mulligan has been nominated for the award once before for her role in An Education, but that came in 2009. As of Saturday, Mulligan was at +125 to take home the Oscar.

Right behind Mulligan is Viola Davis. Davis is +200 to win the Oscar, nominated for Best Actress for her role in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom. Davis is one of the most accomplished actresses ever and the first Black actress to win an Oscar, Emmy and Tony in acting categories. Her previous Oscar win came in the Best Supporting Actress category. This would be her first Oscar for Best Actress.

Frances McDormand sits at +400 and while Andra Day closes out the top four with +600 odds. The only nominee with odds longer than +600 is Vanessa Kirby.

Actress Movie Odds Implied Probability
Carey Mulligan Promising Young Woman +125 44.4%
Viola Davis Ma Rainey's Black Bottom +200 33.3%
Frances McDormand Nomadland +400 20%
Andra Day The United States vs. Billie Holiday +600 14.3%
Vanessa Kirby Pieces of a Woman +2000 4.8%

2021 Oscars: Best Actress Betting

How is the betting public betting the Best Actress market for Sunday’s 2021 Oscars? It has been much more evenly distributed than the Best Actor category, but Viola Davis does have a decent sized lead over the field.

Davis has been backed by 35.89% of bettors while the favorite, Carey Mulligan, has seen 28.47% of all bets come in on her to win Best Actress.

Actress Movie Public Betting
Carey Mulligan Promising Young Woman 28.47%
Viola Davis Ma Rainey's Black Bottom 35.89%
Frances McDormand Nomadland 11.96%
Andra Day The United States vs. Billie Holiday 12.44%
Vaness Kirby Pieces of Woman 11.24%

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