Heisman Watch: Ranking the Top 5 Heisman Odds Candidates Heading into Week 14

In this week's Heisman watch, we break down the five most likely players to win the 2021 Heisman, according to the Heisman Trophy odds going into Week 14
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Heisman Watch: Ranking the Top 5 Heisman Odds Candidates Heading into Week 14

I spent last week's Heisman Watch talking about how this year's Heisman Trophy was CJ Stroud's to lose. The Ohio State QB was the odds-on favorite to take home the award and had the biggest game of the season, which OSU was favored in by over a TD, coming up. But, their loss to Michigan in that one has flipped the latest Heisman watch on its head.

This week is the last week of games for players to improve their Heisman odds before Heisman finalists are announced on December 6. The funny thing about that is Bryce Young and Kenny Pickett are the only players in the top 5 on our Heisman watch list in action this weekend in their conference championship game.

So, who is going to come away with this year's Heisman? Who has the shortest odds in the country? Which player is No. 1 on our Heisman watch list? Let's take a look at that and more with this week's Heisman watch as we approach Championship Weekend.

Click here for the latest Heisman odds

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Heisman Watch: Top 5 Heisman Odds

1. Bryce Young - Alabama QB (-185)

Well, it didn't take long for Alabama QB Bryce Young to get his No. 1 spot on our Heisman watch list back, did it? Last week, Young fell to the No. 2 spot following CJ Stroud's massive win over Michigan State. This week, following OSU's loss to Michigan, Young is back atop the Heisman watch. However, it's not just the fact that CJ Stroud lost that has Bryce Young as the favorite to win the Heisman. We also finally got Young's "Heisman Moment" in Alabama's OT win over Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Young's performance in the Iron Bowl probably wasn't one of his best this season. The freshman signal-caller threw for 317 yards and two TD while throwing a pick and getting shutout in the first half. BUT, with the game on the line and Alabama's season hanging in the balance, Young delivered perhaps his best play of the season with a 28-yard TD pass to Ja'Corey Brooks with 24 seconds left and the Tide trailing by 7. Now comes the hard part. Alabama is set to face Georgia in the SEC championship on Saturday. If they win, you can go ahead and give Young the Heisman. But, if Alabama loses and Young plays poorly, can someone upset the current favorite?

2. CJ Stroud - Ohio State QB (+450)

What could have been for CJ Stroud? All he needed to do was beat Michigan, which hasn't been that difficult of a task for Ohio State teams recently, and the Heisman was his. Unfortunately for Stroud, and those of us that backed him to win it when he was +2500 in Week 6, the loss to their rival pretty much kills any Heisman chance for the freshman QB. Stroud wasn't terrible in the loss, he threw for 394 yards and 2 TDs, but it felt like he was leaving a lot of meat on the bone. Ohio State's defense was the issue, not it's offense, but you need to win big games if you want to hold onto the top spot on the Heisman watch list. is there any scenario where Stroud still wins the Heisman? it's honestly hard for me to see one. Even if Bryce Young looks absolutely awful in the SEC Championship game this weekend, he's playing the best defense in the country and one of the best ever while Stroud is home watching on his couch. I think CJ Stroud's Heisman odds and chances of winning the award are pretty much dead.

3. Kenny Pickett - Pittsburgh QB (+2000)

If, by chance, you're looking for someone on this Heisman watch list to bet on that isn't Bryce Young, I think Kenny Pickett has to be your guy. Mainly because he's the only other player in action this week, but also because he's been absolutely fantastic for a Pitt team that not many expected to be here. Here is the only scenario where this makes any sense. Alabama obviously loses. In the process, Bryce Young looks terrible. He throws for fewer than 200 yards, turns the ball over constantly and never gives his team a chance to win. Later on that night, Kenny Pickett absolutely shreds a terrible Wake Forest defense to the tune of like 450 yards pass, 5 TDs and a huge ACC Championship win for the Panthers. In that scenario, I still don't think there would be enough hype around Pickett to win it, but it would definitely make things interesting at the top. And, at +2000, he may be worth betting on as we look at our penultimate Heisman watch list.

4. Kenneth Walker III - Michigan State RB (+2500)

If you bet on Kenneth Walker III to win the Heisman I have good news and I have bad news. The good news is he will almost certainly be named a finalist on Dec. 6. He has one of the defining moments of the season in his team's win over now No. 2 Michigan and is second in the country in rushing yards with 1,636. The bad news is there is almost no way I can see him winning the Heisman. Walker, a transfer from Wake Forest, has been awesome this season, but it's his 6-carry, 25-yard game against Ohio State, with his team's season on the line, that everyone will remember. Even last week, in a thrilling win over Penn State where he played well, it was receiver Jayden Reed that came away with the highlight of the game. There is just too much working against Walker to consider him a realistic winner of this year's Heisman, and that's why he finds himself at the No. 4 spot on our Heisman watch this week. If Michigan State was playing for a Big 10 title this week, the story may be different. But they're not and Walker's chances of winning the award have suffered.

5. Matt Corral - Ole Miss QB (+2500)

Part of me is sad to see Matt Corral this far down our Heisman watch list in Week 14. But part of me also realizes that it was always an uphill battle for Corral to win the Heisman. Playing in the SEC, he would have had to have pulled off some amazing upset wins over teams like Alabama if he was going to win the Heisman. Corral finishes the year with 3,339 yards passing, 20 TDs and just 4 INTs with an 81.0 QBR. Corral has also rushed for 597 yards and 11 TDs and led Ole Miss to its first ever 10-win season. At one point, Corral was even the favorite to win the Heisman. But, with the Rebels not competing for a conference crown and others on our Heisman watch list having much more team success, Corral fell just short of the Heisman this season.

Others to Watch – Heisman Odds

  • Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati QB (+10000)
  • Jordan Davis – Georgia DT (+8500)
  • Sam Hartman – Wake Forest QB (+7500)
  • Cade McNamara (+12500)

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Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.

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