Heisman Watch: Caleb Williams' Heisman Odds Slashed Following Monster Win Over UCLA
As the season comes to a close, our Heisman Watch series has three names to focus on. On Saturday morning, Caleb Williams' Heisman odds sat at +1200. By the end of the day, he was the second favorite and sat at +135.
Brian Good - November 20, 2022, 10:02 AM EST
2 minHeisman Watch: Caleb Williams' Heisman Odds Slashed Following Monster Win Over UCLA
On our weekly Heisman Watch series, we've been waiting for Caleb Williams to break out and make his way up the Heisman odds board for what seems like all season. on Saturday, he did just that in a win over UCLA.
On Friday night, Caleb Williams' Heisman odds made him the fourth favorite to win the award. Now, on Sunday morning, Williams is the second favorite.
What caused this shift in Caleb Williams' Heisman odds and his movement on Heisman Watch lists? It was an unbelievable showing against rival UCLA on Saturday night.
Caleb Williams finished Saturday's game against UCLA with an insane 470 yards through the air and another 33 on the ground. Williams was 32-for-43 with two TDs in the passing game. He added another score on the ground.
The former Oklahoma Sooner came into the season as the third favorite to win the Heisman. Now, Caleb Williams' Heisman odds have him as the second favorite and approaching odds-on territory.
Caleb Williams Heisman Odds
Player | Heisman Odds on Friday | Implied Chance | Heisman Odds on Sunday |
|---|---|---|---|
Caleb Williams | +1200 | 42.6% | +135 |
Click here for complete Heisman odds
Caleb Williams' Heisman odds have taken a crazy ride this season. As you saw on this week's Heisman Watch list, Williams came into this past week, Week 12, with +1200 Heisman odds.
Ohio State QB CJ Stroud, Tennessee QB Hendon Hooker and Michigan RB Blake Corum all had shorter Heisman odds than Williams as his implied probability to win was just 7.7%. However, that's all changed.
Right now, Caleb Williams' Heisman odds sit at +135, meaning that old 7.7% implied chance has shifted all the way to 42.6% now.
If we're being completely honest, Williams should be the favorite. CJ Stroud is being propped up for pretty much no reason (-125). Stroud was awful against Maryland, once again, and hasn't had a great game in almost a month (10/29 vs. Penn State). Caleb Williams' Heisman odds should be the shortest in the field, but we'll settle for the second favorite for now.
Heisman Odds
Player | Heisman Odds |
|---|---|
CJ Stroud | -125 |
Caleb Williams | +135 |
Hendon Hooker | +225 |
Blake Corum | +1500 |
Bo Nix | +6000 |
Jayden Daniels | +10000 |
Stetson Bennett | +10000 |
Bryce Young | +15000 |
