Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Breakdown
Just a few weeks ago, this game looked as if it might match two teams battling for AFC supremacy.
But it's now featuring two teams seeking to keep pace in the conference's wildcard picture.
Such is life in the rugged AFC, as nine of the conference's 16 teams have records of 6-3 or better.
Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Data
Let's take a look at what the betting data tells us so far:
Item No. 1: Just over 52 percent of bets have been on the Titans +6. I can see why this might be the case, given the fact that most fans recall the Titans thumping Baltimore 28-12 in the playoffs last year behind Derrick Henry's 195 yards. In that game, the Titans' defense managed to limit the Ravens' explosive offense by forcing Lamar Jackson into three turnovers and producing two key fourth-down stops.
But that 2019 Titans defense was an experienced, disciplined group, one that did a good job of not allowing Jackson to take over the game. This year's defense is missing the leadership – and the communication skills – of former defensive coordinator Dean Pees, interior lineman Jurrell Casey and cornerback Logan Ryan. So it may not have what it takes to limit Jackson and his weapons. I think the Titans will face a challenge keeping this one close, and keep in mind also that two of Tennessee's last three games have finished as double-digit losses.
Item No. 2: More than 61 percent of bets so far have been on the Ravens to win, which – as noted above – seems like a logical pick. A month ago, the Titans were 5-0, thanks in part to a high-flying offense averaging about 33 points per game. But the Titans' offense hasn't been able to overpower some of the NFL's better defenses, as Tennessee has averaged only 21 points in in its last four outings. Both teams have injury concerns, but the Titans' troubles may be even more dire. On Thursday, the team – already without starting left tackle Taylor Lewan (ACL) for the season – was missing starting left guard Rodger Saffold, starting center Ben Jones and starting right tackle Dennis Kelly at practice.
Item No. 3: Just over 57 percent of bets have been on the game exceeding the total points line of 48.5. In the last five games, the Titans have only shackled one opposing offense – and that was Nick Foles and the Chicago Bears. So I'd expect the Ravens to be able to put up some points in this contest. The Titans aren't scoring at the same pace they were earlier in the season, but Henry – even behind an injured offensive line – should find at least some running room against a Ravens defense that could be without defensive end Calais Campbell and nose tackle Brandon Williams. I think there will be a decent amount of points on the board by the end of this contest.
Item No. 4: As for which player scores the game's first touchdown, 31.6 percent think it will be Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown, likely because he has six touchdown catches in his last six contests. But I'm more inclined to think it will be the Ravens who get on the board first, as they've outscored opponents 61-26 in the first quarter this season. I might be more inclined to lean toward Baltimore tight end Mark Andrews for the first score, as the Titans have surrendered 20 touchdown passes in nine games this season.
|Team||ML Odds||Point Spread||Public Betting % (Moneyline)|
|Tennessee Titans||+210||+6 (-110)||39%|
|Baltimore Ravens||-230||-6 (-110)||61%|