Super Bowl LV MVP Odds: More Than Half of Bettors Backing Mahomes

Can Patrick Mahomes become just the third player to win back-to-back Super Bowl MVPs? Bettors and oddsmakers think so
Brian Good
Tue, January 26, 5:37 PM

Super Bowl MVP Odds: More Than Half of Bettors Backing Mahomes

The most prestigious individual regular season award in football is the MVP award. Similarly, outside of the Lombardi Trophy, the top honor you can earn in the post season is the Super Bowl MVP.

There have been 54 Super Bowls played up to this point. In that time, only two players have won Super Bowl MVP in back-to-back years. The first to ever do it was Bart Starr, in Super Bowl I and II. Next up, Terry Bradshaw in Super Bowl XIII and XIV. That’s the entire list. It hasn’t happened in 40 years.

Still, that hasn’t stopped over half of the public from backing last year’s Super Bowl MVP, Patrick Mahomes, from winning it again this season.

Super Bowl LV MVP Betting

Last season, Mahomes was a ridiculous favorite to win the Super Bowl LIV MVP award. Prior to kickoff, his odds sat at +110 to win the award. The next closest odds belonged to the opposing QB, Jimmy Garopollo, at +250.

Mahomes was less than perfect in that game, and the Chiefs got behind early, but the KC signal caller led a massive comeback and took home both the Lombardi Trophy and MVP honors. Many stayed away from Mahomes last season because, while he was the most logical winner, the +110 price didn’t present a lot of value.

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Well, oddsmakers this year are even more confident he’s going to win Super Bowl MVP. Mahomes’ best odds to win the award next Sunday are currently +100, with some sites having him as short as -120.

At +100, his implied probability to win it again is 50%. Still, despite what some would perceive as a poor price for the defending champ and MVP, most bettors are still backing Mahomes. As of Tuesday, 51.72% of all Super Bowl LV MVP wagers have been on Mahomes.

After Mahomes, you’d expect Tom Brady to be the most backed option. But, shockingly, the 4x Super Bowl MVP is backed by just 3.45% of bettors, despite being the second favorite at +220.

Super Bowl LV MVP Odds

Player Odds (Click to bet) Implied Probability Public Betting %
Patrick Mahomes +100 50% 51.72%
Tom Brady +220 31.1% 3.45%
Travis Kelce +1400 6.7% 4.8%
Tyreek Hill +1600 5.9% 5.2%
Leonard Fournette +3300 2.9% 7.9%
Mike Evans +3400 2.9% <1%
Chris Godwin +3500 2.8% <1%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +5000 2% 5.1%
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