2021 NFL Draft Odds: Trey Lance Becomes Favorite for Third Overall Pick

Trey Lance is now the favorite to go third overall in the NFL Draft
Brian Good
Thu, April 29, 10:29 AM EDT

2021 NFL Draft Odds: Trey Lance Becomes Favorite for Third Overall Pick

Ever since the San Francisco 49ers traded up for the third pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, the assumption has been that they would take former Alabama star Mac Jones as their QB of the future. The team insisted it hadn’t made up its mind, but draft experts were claiming they had heard differently.

Well, it at least appears as if the 49ers may have been telling the truth. Just a few hours until the first round of the NFL Draft gets underway on Thursday, Trey Lance has leapfrogged Jones in NFL Draft betting markets and become the favorite to be picked No. 3 overall by some sportsbooks.

What was originally an odds-on market for Mac Jones has turned into an odds-on market for Trey Lance. Do the sportsbooks know something we don’t know? Let’s break it down.

NFL Draft Odds: Trey Lance Favored to Be Drafted Third Overall

As previously mentioned, Mac Jones has been the presumed pick ever since the 49ers traded up with the Dolphins for pick three of the 2021 NFL Draft.

Earlier this month, Jones was -250 to be taken by the 49ers with the third overall pick. Earlier today, Jones was sitting at -165. Now, just a few hours before the Draft gets underway, Jones is no longer the favorite anywhere.

According to every single sportsbook on the OddsChecker grid, Trey Lance is now the favorite to be taken 3rd overall. Lance is as short as -200 at William Hill, odds implying a 66.7% chance he’s the pick for the Niners.

Players 3rd Overall Pick Odds Implied Probability
Trey Lance -130 56.5%
Mac Jones +130 43.5%
Justin Fields +1000 9.1%
Kyle Pitts +5000 2%

Click here for complete odds

Which Team Will Draft Trey Lance?

As of this morning, you could get the San Francisco 49ers to take Trey Lance at +250. But, since the latest developments, that price for the NFL Draft is long gone.

Now, the best price you can get in that same market is -149 that the 49ers draft Trey Lance.

Team

Odds to Draft Trey Lance

Implied % Chance

San Francisco 49ers

-149

59.8%

Carolina Panthers

+300

25%

New England Patriots

+500

16.7%

Denver Broncos

+500

16.7%

Detroit Lions

+700

12.5%

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