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Josh Allen Odds: Second Favorite To Be MVP & Driving Down Bills' Super Bowl Odds

The latest NFL odds show that sportsbooks are favoring Josh Allen’s futures listing him second in MVP odds.
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Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen MVP Odds 

  • Josh Allen MVP Odds
  • Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds 
  • Josh Allen Passing Yards Odds

Josh Allen Odds

Quarterback Josh Allen had his breakout in his third pro campaign. The 25-year-old ranked no lower than sixth among QBs in pass attempts, completions, passing yards, passing TDs, completion percentage, and yards per attempt (YPA). He also delivered the goods with his legs, scoring at least eight rushing TDs for the third consecutive season. The Buffalo Bills operated the league’s second pass-heaviest offense in 2020, and that philosophy doesn’t change much as long as Allen is under center. The 25-year-old has cemented himself as an elite QB.

Allen is coming off a breakout season where he finished as runner-up for the 2020 MVP award behind Aaron Rodgers. In addition, the dual-threat quarterback made tremendous strides as a passer. In 2020 he finished sixth in passing yards per game, with 286.3.

That breakout season earned Allen a contract extension. As he and the Bills agreed to a six-year extension worth $258 million with an NFL-record $150 million guaranteed. this past Friday. The $43 million average annual value makes Allen the second-highest-paid player in league history, behind Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, and the highest-paid player in Bills’ history.

Josh Allen’s Coaching and Weapons

Brian Daboll coached the Buffalo Bills offensive. He has worked very well with the young QB. Not only did Daboll turn the Bills into a pass-heavy offense, but he also dialed up more play-action drop-backs for Allen, leading the league with 217 of that variety.

Buffalo scored nearly 30 points per game in 2020 and should show no signs of slowing down this season. There’s potential for even further growth this year. An integral part of Allen’s breakout was a trade for No. 1 wide receiver Stefon Diggs. The two had instant chemistry, and with an entire full off-season under their belts, who knows what limits these two can reach. This summer, the most significant departure was wide-receiver John Brown, but the Bills addressed this by signing the wily vet Emmanuel Sanders.

Additionally, the Bills did not address the backfield this off-season, suggesting they remain a pass-happy offense.

Josh Allen’s MVP Odds & Props

Josh Allen might make a run at the passing touchdown title. Last year, Allen’s 37 passing touchdowns were the fifth-most in the NFL, and the Bill’s project to have a similar if not better offense this season. Further, the Bills had a strong tendency to throw near the end zone. Their 52% pass rate five yards or closer to scoring, tied for the fifth-highest rate, and their 35 attempts were tied for the most with the Packers. As a result, Allen’s passing TD Over/Under is currently at 34.5 (Over -115).

Josh Allen’s odds for the most passing yards are set at +850 (Risk $100 to win $850) or an implied 10.5% chance. Last season he finished 5th in this category.

With Josh Allen’s rocket launcher of a right arm and creative OC Brian Daboll getting them there, the Bills Super Bowl chances haven’t been this high since the early ’90s. The Bills receiving corps is led by Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, and budding TE Dawson Knox; this is as good a receiving group as any in the AFC. We find all the ingredients for a winning team with a young versatile RB Devin Singletary and a reliable offensive line.

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The NFL MVP Award is a quarterback award at this point. The last non-quarterback to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012. The award has been given to a non-quarterback only two more times over the previous 20 seasons in 2005 and 2006.

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Josh Allen will be leading a team with a team win total over/under set at 11 (Over -110) is a plus. All 18 quarterbacks who’ve won the award in the last 20 years led their teams to the playoffs. Josh Allen’s current MVP odds sit at +1300 (Risk $100 to win $1300).

QB Josh Allen MVP Odds & Props

Player propOdds to winImplied Probability
Passing Leader+85010.5%
Passing Yards Total4550.5 (Over -115)53.5%
Passing TD Total34.5 (Over -115)53.5%

Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds

Futures BetOddsImplied Probability
Super Bowl+1,2007.7%
To Win Conference+65013.3%
To Win Division-14959.8%
To Make PlayoffsYes -330/No +30076.7%
Season Win Total O/U11 (Over -110)52.4%

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Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.


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