New York Giants 2021 Betting Preview
- New York Giants Win Total
- New York Giants Division Odds
- New York Giants Super Bowl Odds
- New York Giants Schedule
As a Giants fan, it appears they may finally be on the right track, or at least I hope as they put together a decent 6-10 season in Joe Judge’s first year as head coach. Defensive coordinator Patrick Graham was the star of the show as he led the Giants to a top-12 defense in both points and yards allowed. That’s a massive upgrade from the year before New York allowed the third-most points in the league.
Things are different with the New York Giants under Joe Judge. From reports of brawls to conditioning discipline, there’s no room for nonsense under this new regime. To succeed, the Giants need Quarterback Daniel Jones to leap in year 3. At the very least, superstar running-back Saquon Barkley returns for them. If Daniel Jones can have a similar breakout in his third season like Josh Allen of the Bills did, there will be plenty of value on the Giant’s futures markets.
New York Giants Win Total Odds
The Giants have the eighth-lowest projected win total at the moment at 7 wins, translating to a 7-10 record across a 17-game season. The Giants have not won 7 games since 2016, but they did pick up a 6-10 record last year with a much worse offensive attack than they should field this season. The Giants win total currently is priced here at Over 7 (-125) U (+110)
The Giants offseason was focused on getting Daniel Jones more help, and it began with the free agency signing of Kenny Golladay. The former Lions wide receiver will be the team’s top pass-catcher right away. Golladay is just two years removed from a two-year stretch of a combined 135 catches for 2,253 yards and 16 touchdowns. The Giants drafted playmaker Kadarius Toney in the first round and should get back a fully healthy Saquon Barkley and Golladay’s acquisition.
Last season Saquon Barkley only played in 2 games due to a season-ending injury when he tore his ACL and MCL. Saquon Barkley +700 to win the Comeback Player of the Year Award is the second favorite to win with the same odds as Bengals QB Joe Burrow. On top of losing Barkley, the receiving corps just wasn’t good enough. New York worked to address these shortcomings this offseason, and they look ready to compete for a wide-open NFC East division this year.
New York Giants Schedule & Odds
The Giants kick off their 2021 season at home against the Denver Broncos. Even with upgrades to their respective offenses, this is expected to be a still defensive battle, with the game having an over/under of 42.5. New York finished 2020 with a staggering 3-13 record against the over, the worst mark in the NFL since the Falcons in 2015.
Looking ahead, the lines have the Giants set as favorites in five games this upcoming season, with five other games boasting spreads between +1 and +3. In addition, the Giants are getting more than a field goal in 7 of its 12 games as an underdog. Over the last two seasons, the Giants are 9-3 ATS when getting 3.5 points or more away from Metlife Stadium.
|4||@ New Orleans||+5.5||47.5|
|6||vs L.A. Rams||+3.5||45.5|
|8||@ Kansas City||+10||49|
|9||vs Las Vegas||-1.5||47.5|
|11||@ Tampa Bay||+10||50.5|
|14||@ L.A. Chargers||+6||47|
New York Giants Division Odds
The offensive line allowed 50 sacks in 2020 (second-most in the NFL) and logged a pass block win rate of 31 percent, which was dead last in the league. The bulk of those bodies return for 2021 minus Kevin Zeitler who left in free agency to the Ravens but add Joe Looney. The Giants offensive line may hamper Daniel Jones again in 2021.
However, even if Jones struggles early on, the Giants have a talented defense. New York had the 11th-best run defense, only allowing 111.4 yards per game and ninth-best scoring defense (22.3 ppg) in 2020. They bolstered their defense with the re-signing of Leonard Williams and, in free agency, grabbing Adoree Jackson and Danny Shelton. In addition, in the NFL draft, New York selected Azeez Ojulari in the second round and Elberson Smith in the fourth round to help bolster their pass rush. In 2021, the Giants’ offense is expected to improve after Barkley’s return to health and Golladay and Toney’s additions. Currently, the Giants are priced at +450 to win the NFC East.
New York Giants NFC Champion Odds
The NFC East was the laughing stock of the NFL in 2020, but 2021 can see a drastic change as the Giants, Cowboys, and Washington Football Team are looking to make an impact this season. In 2021, the Giants’ offense is expected to improve. However, it is unlikely that it will be enough for the Giants to reach the Super Bowl unless Daniel Jones makes a drastic jump in year 3. The Giants are currently listed +4000 to win the NFC title.
New York Giants Super Bowl Odds
|Futures Bet||Odds||Implied Probability|
|To Win Conference||+4000||2.4%|
|To Win Division||+450||18.2%|
|To Make Playoffs||Yes +250/No-300||Yes 28.6%/ No 75%|
|Season Win Total O/U||Over 7 (-125) U (+110)||O 55.6% / U 47.6%|
GIANTS 2021 OFFSEASON MOVES
- Trades: None
- Re-signings: DL Leonard Williams (three years, $63 million)
- Free agent losses: DL Dalvin Tomlinson (to Vikings), G Kevin Zeitler (to Ravens), T Cameron Fleming (to Broncos), EDGE Kyle Fackrell (to Chargers), RB Wayne Gallman (to 49ers)
- Notable Free agent signings: WR John Ross (one year, $2.5 million), WR Kenny Golladay (four years, $72 million), LB Reggie Ragland (one year, $1.1 million), G Zach Fulton (one year, $1.2 million), EDGE Ifeadi Odenigbo (one year, $2.5 million), DL Danny Shelton (one year, $1.1 million)
- Notable Draft picks: WR Kadarius Toney, EDGE Azeez Ojulari, CB Aaron Robinson
2020 New York Giants Betting Stats
- Record: 6-10-0
- ATS: 9-7-0
- ATS +/-: +0.4
- Over/Under: 3-13-0
- Total +/-: -5.8