Aaron Rodgers Odds: Books Predict Rodgers Still Has A Huge Chance Of Repeating As MVP Despite Packers Rift
Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers MVP Odds
- Aaron Rodgers MVP Odds
- Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Odds
- Aaron Rodgers Passing TD Odds
- Green Bay Packers Super Bowl Odds
Aaron Rodgers Odds
Aaron Rodgers is the reigning league MVP. He returns for his 17th season with the Packers.
It was a wild ride in the offseason following the Aaron Rodgers saga. Rodgers, who’s been public about his displeasure with the Packers, attempted to force a trade away from Green Bay and even threatened retirement. We can finally get back to business after a tumultuous offseason surrounded by rumors and where or if Rodgers would be playing football in 2021. The Packers reworked Rodgers’ deal in July, voiding the 2023 year, but the strong likelihood is that it moves on from him in 2022.
The 37-year-old Rodgers’ play had dropped off for a few seasons but got back on track in a big way in 2020. Rodgers completed a league-best 71% of his passes and paced the NFL with 48 passing TDs. In addition, he finished top-five in YPA and TD% in 2020 after finishing no better than 15th each of the previous two seasons. No one was better in the entire NFL than Aaron Rodgers, who won his third MVP in priced at (+3000) before the season.
Rodgers was also was named MVP in 2011 and 2014, joining Brett Favre, Peyton Manning, and Tom Brady as the only players to win the award more than twice. Manning is the only one who has won it more than three times, having been named MVP five times.
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are coming off another stellar season, finishing 13-3 in the regular season, and winning the NFC North. However, they fell in the NFC Championship to the eventual Super Bowl champion Buccaneers. Rodgers’ MVP season ended with him becoming the first quarterback to lose in four consecutive conference title game appearances.
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have racked up identical 13-3 records with NFC Championship Game appearances in each of Head Coach Matt LaFleur’s first two seasons.
The Packers led the league with 31.8 points per game in 2020. Expect Rodgers to come out firing on all cylinders in 2021 and light up every defense that stands in his way.
Aaron Rodgers MVP Odds & Props
Aaron Rodgers showed he still has plenty left in the tank after the franchise drafted his potential successor in Jordan Love in the first round of the 2020 draft. Then, of course, he’s bound to regress, though after he threw 48 TDs to just five INTs with a ridiculous 9.1% TD rate in 2020, Rodgers established he’s still one of the league’s premier QBs at 37 years old after he threw for just 51 combined TDs in 2018-19.
Aaron Rodgers passes to arguably the league’s best receiver in Davante Adams. Adams and Rodgers had one of the best connections last season, with Adams leading the league with 18 touchdowns and 98.1 receiving yards per game. The two form the best offensive duo in the entire NFL in my opinion. Rodgers also has Aaron Jones at his disposal, who is one of the few elite running backs. Jones landed a four-year, $48 million deal with $13 million guaranteed this off-season to keep him and his career 5.2 YPC in Green Bay, which will give the Packers a chance to lead the league in scoring for a second straight season.
Last season, Rodgers set a career-high mark passing for 48 touchdowns. Bookmakers have set his total in 2021 at 35.5 (Over -115). He has reached this number 5 times in his career, but before last season, most recently was in 2016. Wide Receiver Davante Adams’ touchdown total over/under is set at 11 (Over -110). In 2020 Adams scored a league high, 18 touchdowns. If Rodgers is going to top his total of 35.5 he will rely plenty on Adams to get him there.
Aaron Rodgers passing yards total is set at 4550.5 (Over -115). Rodgers has surpassed this number just once in his career. However, add the 17th game on the new schedule, and this number may still be out of reach for Rodgers.
Last season Aaron Rodgers took home the MVP award for the third time in his career. The NFL MVP Award is a quarterback award at this point. The last non-quarterback to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012. The award has been given to a non-quarterback only two more times over the previous 20 seasons in 2005 and 2006.
Aaron Rodgers will be leading a team with a team win total over/under set at 10 (Over -140) is a plus. All 18 quarterbacks who’ve won the award in the last 20 years led their teams to the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers current MVP odds sit at +1000 (Risk $100 to win $1000).
The Packers price to make the playoffs is juiced up to -230.
QB Aaron Rodgers MVP Odds & Props
| Player prop | Odds to win | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| MVP | +1,000 | 9.1% |
| Passing Leader | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Passing Yards Total | 4550.5 (Over -115) | 53.5% |
| Passing TD Total | 35.5 (Over -115) | 53.5% |
Aaron Rodgers 2020 Passing Stats
| CMP | ATT | CMP% | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | LNG | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 372 | 526 | 70.7 | 4,299 | 8.2 | 48 | 5 | 78 | 121.5 |
Green Bay Packers Super Bowl Odds
| Futures Bet | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Super Bowl | +1,500 | 6.3% |
| To Win Conference | +850 | 10.5% |
| To Win Division | -145 | 59.2% |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes -230/ No +450 | Yes 69.7%/ No 18.2% |
| Season Win Total O/U | 10 (Over -140) | 58.3% |