Patrick Mahomes Odds: Books Install Mahomes As The Runaway Favorite For 2021 MVP Honors

Patrick Mahomes is a generational talent and finds himself fixed to win his second MVP award in 2021. Check out a breakdown of his futures and props odds for this NFL season.
Nikki Adams
Mon, August 23, 12:21 PM EDT

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Odds

  • Patrick Mahomes MVP Odds
  • Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Odds
  • Kansa City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds

Patrick Mahomes Odds

Patrick Mahomes commands serious currency amongst NFL fans as one of America’s favorite quarterbacks and this generation's most popular NFL player. His popularity is widespread, expanding beyond the borders of the state of Kansas to American football fans all around the country. It’s also transcending the betting in every way possible and touching both team futures and player futures markets. So, whether it’s Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl odds or Patrick Mahomes MVP odds, it’s going to smack of blatant favoritism with books everywhere. You can bet on it! 

Case-and-point, the Kansas City Chiefs are the team to beat in SBLVI markets, and Mahomes is THE player to beat by a country mile in the race to the 2021 NFL Most Valuable Player Award

The MVP winner is invariably a quarterback, as evinced by historical trends: 18 of the last 22 MVPs have gone to a quarterback, including every single award since 2012. The 2020 MVP was awarded to Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers

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Patrick Mahomes Rides Roughshod Over All Opposition

Patrick Mahomes is the short-odds-on fave priced at +550 on the recently updated 2021 NFL MVP odds board. Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers, in the meanwhile, comes in as the second-best bet but at +1000. At double the odds of Mahomes, Rodgers is a distant second-best after his Kansas City counterpart.

Josh Allen at +1200 is the third-best bet, while Tom Brady and Russell Wilson sit in fourth place in the hierarchy (both priced at +1400). Completing the Top 10 shortlist of quarterbacks to spot in this market are Dak Prescott, Lamar Jackson, and Kyler Murray (jointly priced at +1600) and Matthew Stafford and Justin Herbert (priced at +1800). 

On paper, Mahomes is a solid bet. He’s arguably the best quarterback in today’s game, against which others are measured. He’s shown a consistent level of production in his first three seasons; he has enviable offensive weapons around him that helping him litter the stat sheet with gaudy numbers; and, ultimately, he’s the offensive pivot for the Super Bowl 56 faves, the Kansas City Chiefs. And if that’s not convincing enough, he’s been there and done that – having won the MVP in his sophomore season as well as Super Bowl MVP a year later. 

Patrick Mahomes MVP Odds & Props

At 25 years of age, Mahomes has accomplished more than most quarterbacks accomplish in an entire career. He’s been the starter in Kansas City for only three years, but he’s already won a Super Bowl – accomplishing the feat in his second year as the Chiefs’ offensive pivot. Only two quarterbacks superseded Mahomes by winning a Super Bowl in their first season: Kurt Warner and Tom Brady. 

Mahomes announced his arrival to the NFL in 2018 behind an MVP-calibre season that was tailormade for the history books. Mahomes threw for a staggering 5,097 passing yards and 50 touchdowns – a feat that earned him his first-ever regular-season MVP award. Not to mention, he tied with Tom Brady in second place on the all-time NFL passing touchdown record for a single season. Peyton Manning remains in first place with 55 touchdowns which he accomplished in 2013. 

In 2020, Mahomes was amongst the top offensive leaders. He was second in passing yards with 4,740 passing yards, fourth overall in passing touchdowns with 38 TDs, and second overall with an adjusted QBR rating of 82.9.

But it’s not just putting up big numbers that established Mahomes instantly as one of the league’s elite quarterbacks, propelling him into stratospheric heights to hobnob with the game’s greatest signal callers – past and present. It’s the sum of his success with the Kansas City Chiefs, underscored by a level of consistency and poise that’s extremely rare in a young gunslinger.

With Mahomes, the Chiefs have never lost more than four games in any given season. Twice the Chiefs went 12-4-0 SU (2018 and 2019), and last season they delivered their best account yet behind a 14-2-0 SU mark. The Chiefs clinched three straight AFC West titles, two AFC Conference titles, and one Super Bowl in those three seasons. The only hiccups were a) a loss to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in the 2018 AFC championship game and b) a loss to…ironically….Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV. 

His mastery on the field further underscores Mahomes’ MVP odds. He’s one of the most intuitive quarterbacks in the game with a spooky ability to anticipate plays even before they happen, an uncanny knack of extending plays, and a confounding ability to will his receivers into precisely the right spot for his delivery. Whether he’s throwing the ball to a spot on the field well before his receivers are even open or hurling a Hail Mary pass downfield; whether he’s chucking no-look passes or shoveling the ball through the teeniest crack in the opposing defense’s wall; and whether he’s scrambling around to give his receivers time to get open or moving the chains with his legs, Mahomes has shown there’s nothing he cannot do. He’s a phenom.

Hence, according to sports betting insiders, Mahomes is the most bet player in this market and the correct favorite to beat in the race to the MVP award this season.

Patrick Mahomes Props

Go ahead, pick a futures betting market. Mahomes is more or less the top bet in all of them. After getting the MVP nod, Mahomes is also the player to beat for the AP Offensive Player of the Year Award at +700. Mahomes is also the top bet to put up the most passing yards (+250) and the most touchdowns (+350). Separately, books have rolled out a slew of Mahomes prop bets for bettors to sink their teeth into, such as betting on the OVER or UNDER for the number of passing yards and or touchdowns.

QB Patrick Mahomes MVP Odds & Props

Player prop Odds to win
MVP +550
Passing Yards Total 5050.5 (Over -115)
Passing TD Total 35.5 (Over -115)
Offensive Player of the Year +1000
Most Passing Touchdowns +340
Most Passing Yards +300

Patrick Mahomes 2020 Passing Stats

CMP ATT CMP% YDS AVG TD INT LNG RTG
390 588 66.3 4,740 8.1 38 6 75 108.2

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Chiefs Super Bowl Odds and Other Futures Markets 2021

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