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NFL MVP Race Power Rankings: Breaking Down the Field After Week 9

Through nine weeks of the NFL season, we take a look at the NFL MVP race and give you an updated look at the odds.
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NFL MVP Race Power Rankings: Breaking Down the Field After Week 9


Tom Brady +350

No, not again. Yes, the 44-year-old three-time MVP is once again a favorite to take home the award. Tom Brady leads the league with 25 touchdown passes, putting him on pace for 53 passing touchdowns which would be a career-high for him. He’s also leading the league with 331.3 passing yards per game and he has a 108.6 rating through the first half of the season.

Josh Allen +600

Josh Allen was the favorite but after a tough week against Jacksonville, he’s now at +600. In a 9-6 loss, he threw two picks and no touchdowns ending his streak of five straight games with a passer rating north of 100. Even still, Allen has 17 passing touchdowns and a 97.1 rating at the moment and that’s before playing a brutal Jets defense this week.

Kyler Murray +650

Kyler Murray missed a week, as Colt McCoy replaced the injured Murray for the game against San Francisco and as a result, Kyler is now in third. Like Allen, Murray has 17 passing touchdowns but his rating is significantly higher at 110.4 with 284.5 passing yards per game. He’s slowed up a little in recent weeks but if you’re a believer in this Cardinals offense now might be the time to get in on the value.

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An Overrated Contender

Dak Prescott +1200

Dak Prescott is not overrated on the field but in the MVP race, I just don’t see it. He’s 17th in passing yards after missing a game and while his yards per game, touchdowns, completion percentage, and rating are all worthy numbers, right now the yardage is holding him back from being a true contender for the award.

An Underrated Contender

Matthew Stafford +800

Outside of the top three, Matthew Stafford is next with +800 odds. How can the guy with the fourth-best odds be underrated? Well, he’s third in yards per game, second in passing touchdowns, and he leads the league in passer rating. He’s as legit of a candidate as anybody and the fact that he’s behind Allen and Murray right now after the weeks they’ve had actually makes this really good value. If I were placing a wager on the award right now, this would be my choice.

Two Deep Sleepers

Patrick Mahomes +8000

Patrick Mahomes a sleeper? Yes, very much so. With just a 5-4 record, the Kansas City Chiefs haven’t been themselves and Mahomes already has 10 interceptions on the season which is unlike him. But, if there’s any player in the league who can turn it on and figure it out at the drop of the hat it’s Mahomes. He’s third in passing touchdowns, seventh in yards per game, and fourth in total passing yards. A big second-half run could launch him up this list.

Cooper Kupp +15000

Finally, a position other than quarterback. If anyone else is to take home the award it’s Kupp. He has 10 receiving touchdowns in nine games and 1.019 yards already. Paced out over 17, you’re looking at a 1,924 and 19 receiving touchdown season. If he gets up over 2,000 and 20 touchdowns, he may have a shot at the award. For the record, 1,946 yards is the most in a season thanks to Calvin Johnson and Randy Moss’ 23 touchdowns is the most receiving touchdowns in a season.

Top 10 NFL MVP Odds

Tom Brady+350
Josh Allen+600
Kyler Murray+650
Matthew Stafford+800
Lamar Jackson+1100
Dak Prescott+1200
Aaron Rodgers+1300
Justin Herbert+2000
Derek Carr+5000
Ryan Tannehill+5000

Click Here For FULL MVP Futures ODDS


OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.


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