NFL MVP Odds: Brock Purdy Overtakes Jalen Hurts for MVP Lead After Blowout
The 2023 NFL MVP race is still chalk full of contenders, but no one has been able to separate from the pack. Brock Purdy is now rejoining the race after several strong performances, and has snatched the lead away from Jalen Hurts. Will he be able to outclass Dak Prescott and Hurts down the stretch? Let's take a look at the MVP odds ahead of Week 14.
Peter Alexis - December 7, 2023, 3:34 PM EST
7 minNFL MVP Odds: Brock Purdy Overtakes Jalen Hurts for MVP Lead After Blowout
Brock Purdy is the new NFL MVP odds leader. Yes, you're reading that correctly. The former last pick in the 2022 NFL Draft is now leading the entire league in the race for MVP in only his second season.
"Mr. Irrelevant" is proving a lot of people wrong with his performances, and has successfully righted the ship for the 49ers after a three game losing streak threatened their stellar start.
Purdy and the Niners have now won four straight after falling to 5-3, and are firmly in control of the NFC West. They just took down the league-leading Eagles in a surprising road blowout by a score of 42-19, and are one game away from the first seed in the NFC.
In an already dense field of potential winners, Dak Prescott has also climbed to the forefront after several blowouts and high-scoring wins. The Cowboys annihilated the Giants and Commanders before coming back to defeat the Seahawks last Thursday night.
The Cowboys have one of the toughest remaining schedules in the NFL, but if Dak can continue to put up similar numbers against these top teams, he will certainly have a shot at the award. Let's take a look at the latest odds after Week 11, and see where Prescott and Purdy stand in the rankings.
NFL MVP Odds
Player | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
Brock Purdy | +300 | 25% |
Dak Prescott | +350 | 22.22% |
Jalen Hurts | +350 | 22.22% |
Patrick Mahomes | +650 | 13.33% |
Tua Tagovailoa | +950 | 9.52% |
Lamar Jackson | +950 | 9.25% |
Tyreek Hill | +1500 | 6.25% |
Brock Purdy has climbed his way to the top of the NFL MVP field, thanks in part to delivering a shocking perfect passer rating against the Buccaneers. He threw for 333 yards and 3 TDs, notching the elusive 158.3 rating in that Week 11 game.
Purdy has an 11 touchdown to one interception ratio in this four-game winning streak, and will look to continue his momentum in the final stretch. He as +300 odds at the top of the list, giving him a strong 25% chance to shock the world with this award.
The 49ers have a relatively easy final five games, as compared to many other top contenders. They have the NFC West all but locked up, and three of their games are against their weak division opponents who they have routinely crushed. If they continue to take care of business, Purdy will be tough to top due to his risk averse play style.
One game to watch is Ravens vs. Niners on Christmas Day, where Purdy can separate himself from the other contenders with a clean victory at home. He may not put up the most stats, but he avoids mistakes and has guided his team on two impressive winning streaks.
Hot on Purdy's tail is Dak Prescott, who was way back at +6600 odds just three weeks ago. He climbed to +3000 after throttling the Giants, and then up to +600 after a similar performance against the Commanders. In the latest NFL MVP odds, he is now just +350, sitting right behind Brock Purdy.
The Cowboys have remaining games against the Eagles, Dolphins, Lions, and Bills, which will surely put them through a gauntlet en route to their potential playoff run. They just rolled in their last two "easy" games against the Commanders and Panthers, and Prescott certainly padded his stats in those contests.
Winning the NFC East would also go a long way for his candidacy in the MVP race. His division foe, Jalen Hurts, is currently at matching +350 odds to win the trophy while sitting in first place with -490 odds to win the division. If Dak and the Cowboys (+330) can complete the comeback and overtake them, his chances will continue to soar. Keep an eye on both teams in the NFC East and their QB's, as they try to separate themselves from this crowded field of contenders.
NFL Odds
