5 Most Popular Bets and Prop Bets for MNF: Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams

5 Most Popular Bets and Prop Bets for MNF: Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams

Tonight's Dolphins vs. Rams matchup on Thursday Night Football is a big one. The Rams are looking to keep pace in the NFC West with a fourth-straight win. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are just trying to survive in the AFC playoff race, and they can't afford another loss.

With such a huge matchup in front of us, it's no wonder that there has been tons of action on the game. But, where are bettors spending their money? Are they making good bets or should you be fading the public? Luckily for you, I'm here to help.

Not only have I broken down the five most popular bets for Dolphins vs. Rams tonight, but I did a little digging in the oddchecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool and used expected value to see if those bets had any value or if they were duds.

So, before you make any picks for tonight's game, let's see how the Dolphins vs. Rams most popular bets look ahead of kickoff.

What is expected value? Find out here

Dolphins vs. Rams Odds

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Dolphins vs. Rams - 5 Most Popular Bets

1. Los Angeles Rams -2.5 (-110)

The most popular bet for tonight's Dolphins vs. Rams game makes sense as the Rams come in as winners of their last three games. The public is hammering them, with 77% of the bets and 78% of the money on Rams -2.5 to keep winning, as seen in the latest oddschecker+ betting splits.

Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Dolphins ML (+125)

Another surprising aspect of this one is that the oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool is fading the public tonight. The tool's favorite pick for tonight is the Miami Dolphins to win outright at +125 on the moneyline. Those odds indicate a 44% chance the Dolphins win, while our AI probability gives them a 51% chance, good for 14% EV on them to pull the upset.

2. Over 48.5 (-110)

It's no surprise to see the over as the second-most popular play for tonight's game, as the public usually loves to play this and expect offense. 65% of the bets and 79% of the total money is riding on this over, but is it the smartest play? The number hasn't budged despite all this action, and both sides have had offensive struggles of their own throughout the year.

Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Under 48.5 (-110)

The oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool is looking to fade the public over pick tonight, recommending a play on the Under 48.5 total points. The -110 odds imply 52% chance the game goes under 48.5. However, the OC AI probability has it at 55%, giving a 4.7% EV on this under bet.

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3. Kyren Williams First TD Scorer (+370)

Kyren Williams has seen great success with the Rams so far this year, and has been mostly a touchdown machine. However, this play at +370 odds could lose without him ever touching the field. In a high total game at 48.5, we are expecting a decent amount of points tonight whether it goes over or not. Tua and the Dolphins could start with the ball and get on a roll, preventing Williams from having a chance to get the first TD.

Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Demarcus Robinson Anytime TD Scorer (+300)

If you're looking for a different anytime TD scorer prop, then try out Demarcus Robinson, who has incredible +EV odds to score again, per our the oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool. He has similar odds as Kyren Williams' first TD, but has the entire game to get it done. Robinson has also scored four times in the last two games, even with Kupp and Nacua back in the lineup. He has a strong connection with Stafford in the red zone, and will continue to be a solid option until proven otherwise.

4. Puka Nacua Over 5.5 Receptions (-130)

Puka Nacua is one of the most popular players for either side, and bettors love to hammer him and Cooper Kupp to pick up receptions. While this should be a high-scoring game with a lot of offense, Nacua hasn't put in a ton of reps since coming back from injury, and was ejected last week against the Seahawks. Stafford has connected with a lot of other receivers in that time, and can spread the ball around.

Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Tyreek Hill Under 5.5 Receptions (-125)

Instead of going with a very public receptions prop on one of the Rams' best receivers, we can instead look to an under on Tyreek Hill receptions at 5.5. Hill is dealing with a flared-up wrist injury, and Tagovailoa may not be going to him often tonight knowing that. Hill only had four grabs against the Bills, and he's often a big play receiver versus stacking up a plethora of short catches. Our +EV Tool gives this a 77% probability, yielding +EV of 39%.

5. Matthew Stafford 225+ Passing Yards (-250)

This last play is a very common parlay piece for same-game parlays on Monday Night Football. Bettors are going for the alternate passing yards on Matthew Stafford to give themselves a better chance of hitting, but the bet isn't the smartest at the end of the day at -250 odds.

Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Matthew Stafford Under 23.5 Passing Completions (-105)

Let's skip the overly public QB alt passing yards prop, and go with something that has a similar chance of hitting but with way better odds. This one is as close to even as you can get at -105, versus the -250 premium on his yards. Stafford has gone under this completions number in three of the Rams' last four games, despite them winning their last three. If the Rams build a lead, they won't need to pass as much tonight, and could run out the clock with Kyren Williams. At more profitable odds, this play yields at 26% +EV, and may be the better choice.