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Justin Herbert Chargers 2024

5 Most Popular Bets and Prop Bets for MNF: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens

The five most popular bets for the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens Week 12 matchup on Monday Night Football. Which lines and prop bets are bettors rushing to the window to take advantage of? Which should you stay away from?

5 Most Popular Bets and Prop Bets for MNF: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens

Tonight's Monday Night Football showdown is one to pay close attention to as we get the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens coming up. The Ravens are looking to keep pace with the Steelers, who lead the AFC North. Meanwhile, the Chargers are trying to catch the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West.

As always, primetime games see a ton of betting action from the public. But where exactly are sports bettors putting their money for Chargers vs. Ravens? Should you fade the public or ride along with them? With the help of the oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool, I hope to guide your betting journey on Monday Night Football. Think of it as one of Aaron Rodgers' ayahuasca journeys but with fewer hallucinogens and more bets.

We're using expected value, the basis of the Positive Value Bets Tools, to see if we should ride with the most popular bets from Chargers vs. Ravens or if we should go another route and avoid potential traps.

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Chargers vs. Ravens Odds

Chargers vs. Ravens - 5 Most Popular Bets

1. Ravens -2.5 (-115)

I'm not exactly shocked to see the Ravens being the most popular bet of the night with the point spread so small and a field-goal victory getting you a win, but should we be going along with this one? Baltimore is 5-5-1 against the spread this season while the Chargers are an impressive 7-3. 62% of the bets and 59% of the money is on the Ravens to cover 2.5

  • Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Ravens ML (-145)

The oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool is giving us a bit of juice here when it comes to its best bet for this one but it will likely be worth it in the end. Our AI probability gives the Ravens a 67% chance to win outright and -145 implies they have just a 59%. That's a 13% EV.

2. Under 51.5 (-122)

This is a rare one. We rarely see an under crack the list for the five most popular bets on a primetime game, but when the total is as high as 51.5, I guess it's understandable. Think of betting the under as a necessary evil. Rooting for no points isn't fun, but sometimes it has to be done if you want to make money betting. For this one, 51% of bets are on the under but only 34% of the money is on the same side.

  • Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Under 51 (-110)

The Baltimore Ravens score the second most points per game this season, averaging just over 30. But the Chargers let up a stingy 14.5 points per game. The Chargers have struggled a bit to find the end zone themselves, so we see the OC+ tools loving the under. The tool says there is a 57% AI probability that the game goes under 51 and the odds imply a 52% chance. That's an 8.1% EV.

3. Derrick Henry First TD Scorer (+400)

Derrick Henry's TD bets have been all over the place this season. At one point, Henry was sitting at about -290 for an anytime TD. That's approaching Christian McCaffrey territory during his streak. Now, those anytime TD odds for Henry are down around -190, but it's still a big pill to swallow. How have bettors responded? They're hammering his first TD scorer odds at +400 instead.

  • Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Rashod Bateman Anytime TD Scorer (+330)

If you're looking for value in your bet let me guide you away from Derrick Henry's first TD as an option and toward Rashod Bateman's anytime TD. Our AI says there is a 38% chance Bateman finds the end zone but the odds are indicative of just a 23% chance. That leaves us with a whopping 63% EV.

4. Quentin Johnston Longest Reception Over 22.5 (-125)

Last year's rookie season for Quentin Johnston was a nightmare as he caught just 38 balls on 67 targets for 431 yards and two TDs. This season, he's not breaking any records but he has scored six touchdowns and already has racked up 354 yards. He's a part of the offense this season, but betting on him to have a 23-yard reception, especially at -125, might not be the wisest way to spend your money.

  • Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Quentin Johnston Under 2.5 Receptions (+220)

Instead, let me convince you to bet on Johnston to go under 2.5 receptions tonight. you can get this prop at +220 right now and it takes advantage of Johnston being an unreliable target in the passing game. Johnston hasn't had three or more catches since November 3. We have a 42% AI probability on this going under. Meanwhile, the odds say there is a 31% implied probability, giving us 45% EV.

5. Justin Herbert Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)

On the surface, I get this one. I mean, the Ravens' passing defense has been the worst in the NFL. But, it's important to remember Justin Herbert doesn't have big explosive threats around him. He's been a largely inefficient passer this year and our trends tool tells us he didn't go over this number until the sixth game of the year. Instead, let's bet on his ability to take care of the ball.

  • Oddschecker+ EV Tool Pick: Justin Herbert Under 0.5 Interceptions (+100)

Justin Herbert has thrown just one interception this season. That's an impressive feat considering he's thrown it 277 times. We can get under 0.5 interceptions at even money and our AI tells us there is an 82% chance he plays a clean game. Those odds imply just a 50% chance we get that outcome, meaning the EV sits at 64%.

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