NFL MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes Extends MVP Lead in MNF Blowout Ahead of Week 9 Showdown with Josh Allen, Bills
The Kansas City Chiefs picked up another dominant win on Monday Night Football as their season heats up. Patrick Mahomes has quickly overtaken the NFL MVP race as the fresh favorite, and has a chance to extend his lead in Week 9 against Josh Allen and the Bills, his main competition. Peter Alexis examines the latest NFL MVP odds after Week 8 and explains the stakes ahead.
Peter Alexis - October 28, 2025, 2:30 AM EDT
5 Minute ReadNFL MVP Odds: Can Patrick Mahomes Break Open MVP Race Against Josh Allen, Bills in Week 9?
The NFL MVP race continues to narrow, and Week 9 could deliver a major shake-up. Patrick Mahomes reasserted himself as the frontrunner after torching Washington for 300 yards and three touchdowns in a dominant Monday night win, pushing his odds to +150 from +200. His efficiency and poise are fueling Kansas City’s rise atop the AFC once again, and if he keeps this pace, the award could be his to lose. But one man still stands in his way—Josh Allen. The Bills quarterback led Buffalo to a much-needed blowout win over Carolina, though his passing numbers lagged behind Mahomes’ production. Allen’s odds have slipped to +400 from +300, widening the gap between the two stars heading into their head-to-head clash this Sunday.
That matchup will likely define the MVP race at midseason. If Mahomes outduels Allen and the Chiefs win, he could move into minus-money territory for the first time this year. But if Allen can light up Kansas City’s red-hot defense and lead Buffalo to victory, the leaderboard could flip overnight. It’s a classic high-stakes battle between the league’s two premier quarterbacks, and the ripple effects will stretch across sportsbooks everywhere as the Chiefs open as -1.5 road favorites in Week 9.
While the race centers on Mahomes and Allen, a new contender has emerged behind them. Patriots youngster Drake Maye has skyrocketed into third place at +500, leaping from longshot status after leading New England to five straight wins with 30-plus points in several of them. Meanwhile, Baker Mayfield’s MVP hopes have collapsed—his odds ballooning from +350 to beyond +2000 after two sluggish performances that have derailed Tampa Bay’s momentum. With Maye rising and Allen slipping, the MVP board has a new look heading into Week 9.
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Patrick Mahomes (+150) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Mahomes’ move to +150 underscores his growing command of the race. He’s thrown for 1,900 yards and averages more per game than any other MVP contender, doing it against one of the league’s toughest schedules. His upcoming duel with Allen offers a chance to cement his lead and potentially wrap up the conversation early if Kansas City stays hot.
Josh Allen (+400) Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Allen, meanwhile, remains firmly in the mix at +400. His production has dipped slightly—just over 1,500 yards through seven games—but he’s still among the most dangerous dual threats in football. His efficiency has wavered, yet a strong showing against Mahomes could completely reset the market.
Drake Maye (+500) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Drake Maye’s leap to +500 has been fueled by his consistency and volume. The rookie has already eclipsed 2,000 yards, though he’s also played one more game than Mahomes or Allen. His stats have come against a softer slate, dominating teams like the Panthers, Titans, and Browns, but his numbers still speak loudly. A Week 9 matchup with the struggling Falcons offers another opportunity for Maye to pad his totals and keep the pressure on the top two.
Baker Mayfield (+2000) Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Baker Mayfield, once a surprise contender, has fallen out of the picture entirely. His production has cratered during the the last two games for the Bucs, despite winning one against the Saints. Mayfield was taking the league by storm with a 5-1 start and repetitive comeback wins, but some lower-stat games are hurting his candidacy, as well as continuous WR injuries. His MVP moment is on life support as Mahomes pulls away.
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