NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds: Jonathan Taylor Takes Commanding Lead in OPOY Race After 3-TD Outing
The Indianapolis Colts have been the shocker of the NFL, winning 7 of their first 8 games with Daniel Jones. Jonathan Taylor has played a major role in that, leading the NFL in rushing yards and touchdowns, and now taking over the 2025 Offensive Player of the Year race as a result. Peter Alexis breaks down the latest NFL OPOY odds shift after Week 8.
Peter Alexis - October 28, 2025, 1:15 AM EDT
5 Minute ReadNFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds: Jonathan Taylor Takes Commanding Lead in OPOY Race After 3-TD Outing
The NFL Offensive Player of the Year race has taken a dramatic turn, and Jonathan Taylor now stands alone atop the board. After exploding for 175 total yards and three touchdowns in a statement win over the Titans, Taylor has surged to a commanding -225 favorite. He leads the league in rushing with 850 yards and 12 touchdowns, both by comfortable margins, as the Colts offense continues to thrive behind Daniel Jones. Taylor was listed at +450 just three weeks ago, but a dominant October has made him the clear front-runner heading into the back half of the season.
Behind him, the competition has faltered or faded. Puka Nacua, who once led the market at +300, has been sidelined with an ankle injury, while rising stars like Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Christian McCaffrey continue to produce but can’t match Taylor’s week-to-week explosiveness. Even Bijan Robinson has stumbled, falling out of the top tier after back-to-back quiet games in Atlanta’s recent losses. The OPOY field is tightening fast, and Taylor’s stranglehold only strengthens with each big outing.
Three weeks ago, the award picture was wide open. Now, Taylor’s rise from +450 to -225 has reshaped the market entirely. His power, consistency, and ability to dominate defenses have separated him from the pack. Let’s break down how the odds have moved for the main contenders chasing the red-hot Colts running back.
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2025 Offensive Player of the Year Odds
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NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds Breakdown
Jonathan Taylor (-225) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jonathan Taylor’s surge has been nothing short of spectacular. He’s averaging 5.9 yards per carry and over 100 yards per game, continuing to serve as the centerpiece of a balanced Colts offense that has thrived since Daniel Jones took over. With over 100 yards of separation between him and the next leading rusher (James Cook), plus a three-touchdown (Josh Jacobs) cushion atop the leaderboard, it’s hard to see anyone overtaking him soon. His blend of explosiveness and volume is precisely what voters look for in this award.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+600) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s odds have tightened from +1500 to +600 as his chemistry with new Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold grows by the week. He currently leads the league in receiving yards with 819 and has added four touchdowns, emerging as Seattle’s top offensive weapon. His surge is one of the few bright spots for the Seahawks, and continued production could make him Taylor’s most realistic challenger if the Seahawks stay in the playoff mix.
Puka Nacua (+1400) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Puka Nacua’s drop from +300 to +1400 reflects how quickly momentum can fade due to injury. The Rams wideout was leading the NFL in receptions before suffering an ankle sprain, allowing Ja’Marr Chase to overtake him. Nacua is expected to return in Week 9 when Los Angeles hosts the Saints, giving him a chance to reignite his campaign. If he resumes his high-volume role and puts up a signature performance, he could climb back into the top five, but catching Taylor will be a monumental challenge.
Christian McCaffrey (+1400) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Christian McCaffrey has hovered around +1400, climbing slightly but still far behind Taylor. His versatility remains unmatched—ranking near the top in total scrimmage yards—but sharing touches in San Francisco’s deep offense has limited his ceiling compared to Taylor’s bell-cow role. A few signature performances could change that, but the 49ers’ balance may hold him back in award voting.
Bijan Robinson (+1900) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Bijan Robinson’s fall from +550 to +1900 has been steep. The Falcons star has hit a wall in recent weeks, totaling just 65 rushing yards across two losses and committing his first fumble of the season in the red-zone amid a blowout loss to the Dolphins. His talent is undeniable, but with Atlanta reeling and Taylor running wild, Robinson’s path back into contention looks slim. He’ll need multiple massive games to even re-enter the conversation.
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