NFL Trade Deadline Odds: Jakobi Meyers, Bradley Chubb Moves Expected After Logan Wilson, Jaelan Phillips Trades
The NFL Trade deadline is just hours away on Tuesday afternoon, and you can bet on who will get traded at the buzzer on Kalshi. Peter Alexis analyzes the big names left after Jaelan Phillips was traded by the Dolphins, with Jakobi Meyers and Bradley Chubb expected to get moved at the deadline on November 4th.
Peter Alexis - November 4, 2025, 9:25 AM EST
5 Minute ReadNFL Trade Deadline Odds: Will We See More Deals on Tuesday's Trade Deadline After Logan Wilson, Jaelan Phillips Trades?
The NFL trade deadline is now just hours away on Tuesday afternoon, and the deals have already started rolling in. Two major moves this week sent clear signals about where certain franchises are headed: the Philadelphia Eagles acquired pass rusher Jaelan Phillips from the Miami Dolphins in exchange for a 2026 third-round pick, while the Dallas Cowboys landed linebacker Logan Wilson from the Cincinnati Bengals on Tuesday morning. Those trades have only added fuel to the fire as front offices around the league weigh their final pre-deadline decisions.
Miami, in particular, looks ready to continue its roster teardown, with Bradley Chubb now sitting at a near-certain 97% chance of being moved — likely to either the 49ers or Cowboys before Tuesday’s deadline. Meanwhile, Jakobi Meyers, who led last week’s watch list at 58%, is now up to 65%, as the Raiders appear poised to finally grant his long-standing trade request. Elsewhere, a few surprising names have entered the mix as teams look to retool or plan for the future, including Nick Chubb, Breece Hall, and Tony Pollard, representing a rare cluster of starting-caliber running backs who could be wearing new uniforms by Week 10.
As it stands, here are the latest trade odds for key players ahead of the November 4 deadline. With contenders looking to strengthen their playoff pushes and several teams clearly pivoting toward rebuilds, this could shape up to be one of the busiest NFL trade deadlines in recent memory.
Bet on the NFL Players to get Traded with Kalshi Here
NFL Trade Deadline Odds
Player | Trade Probability |
|---|---|
Bradley Chubb | 97% |
Jakobi Meyers | 65% |
Nick Chubb | 56% |
Breece Hall | 39% |
Chris Olave | 30% |
Tony Pollard | 25% |
Jaylen Waddle | 21% |
Calvin Ridley | 20% |
*Kalshi Odds as of Tuesday, November 4th.
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Bradley Chubb - 97% Chance to Be Traded by Dolphins
After the Jaelan Phillips deal, the writing is on the wall for Bradley Chubb. Miami has effectively signaled a defensive rebuild, and Chubb is the next domino expected to fall. His market is hot, with both the 49ers and Cowboys reportedly making serious offers as of Monday night. At 97%, a trade feels inevitable — the only question is which contender wins the bidding war. Miami will likely look to secure early-round draft compensation and clear cap space for 2026.
Jakobi Meyers - 65% Chance to Be Traded by Raiders
Meyers’ trade likelihood continues to climb as frustration in Las Vegas mounts. Despite being one of the team’s most consistent weapons, his role has been inconsistent due to offensive instability. Multiple playoff-bound teams, including the Chiefs and Bills, have checked in, and Meyers’ contract makes him one of the more attainable wideouts on the market. The Raiders are open for business, and this feels like the perfect time for both sides to move on.
Nick Chubb - 56% Chance to Be Traded by Texans
In one of the more surprising storylines of the season, the Texans have reportedly given rookie Woody Marks more work, pushing veteran Nick Chubb’s future into question. After starting the year at just 8% odds to be traded, he’s now up to 56% as Houston balances playoff aspirations with a youth movement. A team in need of a bruising runner could make a late push to acquire him before the deadline.
Breece Hall - 39% Chance to be Traded by Jets
Hall’s name has quietly surfaced in recent talks, though the odds remain below 50%. The Jets are listening but not actively shopping the young back, who remains one of their few consistent offensive threats. Still, with New York’s offense in flux and multiple suitors looking for backfield depth, a trade isn’t completely off the table — especially if the Jets want to reset around a younger core next offseason as the losses pile up.
Chris Olave - 30% Chance to Be Traded by Saints
Olave’s trade likelihood has dropped significantly from 55% to 30%, as the Saints seem intent on keeping their young star despite continued offensive struggles. His chemistry with Spencer Rattler has shown flashes of promise, and the front office reportedly views him as a building block rather than a trade chip. Unless the Saints receive a massive offer, Olave is expected to remain in New Orleans past Tuesday.
Tony Pollard - 25% Chance to Be Traded by Titans
The Titans are heading toward a full rebuild at 1-8, and Tony Pollard could be one of the next veterans on the move. Though Pollard has flashed explosiveness in spurts, Tennessee’s front office appears committed to giving younger players more opportunities. There’s some market interest from the Ravens and Dolphins, but with limited leverage and salary considerations, Pollard’s odds remain moderate at 25%.
Jaylen Waddle - 21% Chance to Be Traded by Dolphins
Miami’s fire sale has fans wondering if Waddle could be next, though team sources insist he’s not available. Still, his name continues to circulate in trade discussions, especially after Phillips’ and Chubb’s situations escalated. Waddle’s odds rise from 9% to 21% simply because of the uncertainty surrounding Miami’s direction — and if a blockbuster offer comes in, all bets are off.
Calvin Ridley - 20% Chance to Be Traded by Titans
The Titans’ spiral continues, and Calvin Ridley could be a casualty of the rebuild. With the team sitting at 1-8 and fully embracing a “tankathon” approach, Ridley’s veteran presence may no longer fit the long-term plan. While there’s interest from receiver-needy contenders like the Lions and Bills, his recent dip in production and expiring deal make him more of a longshot trade candidate than a sure thing.
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