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The 2026 NBA Draft is loaded with one-and-done freshmen, and Kalshi traders are heavily expecting that group to dominate the top 10. The market has 8+ freshmen drafted in the top 10 at 94%, 9+ freshmen at 85%, and exactly 10 freshmen at 31%.

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The No. 5 pick is where the 2026 NBA Draft board starts to open up. After the clear top-four group of AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson, the Clippers could go in several directions with Keaton Wagler, Mikel Brown Jr., Darius Acuff Jr., Brayden Burries and Kingston Flemings all in the mix.

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The No. 4 pick market in the 2026 NBA Draft is the clearest board outside of AJ Dybantsa at No. 1. Caleb Wilson is a massive favorite to land with the Chicago Bulls, with the market only leaving room for chaos if Utah or Memphis takes him earlier.

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The No. 3 pick market in the 2026 NBA Draft is expected to come down to Cameron Boozer and Darryn Peterson, depending on what Utah does at No. 2. Caleb Wilson is more involved here than he was in the first two markets, but the consensus still points to him being lined up for Chicago at No. 4.

The NY-07 Democratic primary is another major open-seat race in New York, with longtime Rep. Nydia Velázquez not seeking reelection after more than three decades in Congress. Kalshi traders have Claire Valdez as the clear favorite on primary day, with Antonio Reynoso still alive but running well behind.

Ryan Garcia and Conor Benn are set to meet in Las Vegas on September 12 in one of the biggest welterweight fights of the year. Garcia opens as the clear betting favorite at -333, while Benn comes back as a +275 underdog in his first world title opportunity.

The NY-12 Democratic primary has become one of New York’s highest-profile open-seat races, with Jerry Nadler stepping aside after more than three decades in Congress. Kalshi traders now give Micah Lasher a clear lead over Alex Bores, while Jack Schlossberg’s early name-driven momentum has faded almost entirely by primary day.

The NY-13 Democratic primary has become one of the most closely watched House races in New York, with incumbent Adriano Espaillat trying to hold off progressive challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Kalshi traders have moved back toward Espaillat on primary day, but the market still shows a race that was far more competitive than expected just weeks ago.

The No. 2 pick market in the 2026 NBA Draft is centered on Darryn Peterson, but it is not as locked in as AJ Dybantsa at No. 1. With Utah expected to pick second, Cameron Boozer remains a real alternative if the Jazz decide to avoid the risk attached to Peterson’s camp, health questions, and fit.

The 2026 NBA Draft begins Tuesday, June 23, at 8 p.m. ET from Barclays Center, with the first round on Tuesday night and the second round on Wednesday. The No. 1 pick market is centered on AJ Dybantsa and Darryn Peterson, but Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson remain the only other realistic longshots in a loaded freshman-heavy class.

The Giannis Antetokounmpo trade immediately reshaped the Eastern Conference, sending the two-time MVP and Bobby Portis to the Miami Heat while the Milwaukee Bucks begin life after their greatest franchise player. The question now is simple: who won the blockbuster deal?

Harry Kane sits fourth in the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot odds at +700 after scoring twice in England’s opening win over Croatia. With England a massive favorite against Ghana on Tuesday night, Kane has a clear chance to close the gap on Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe, and Erling Haaland in the top goalscorer race.