Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire predictions, probable lineups, Same Game Parlay picks and standout odds for Saturday's MLS game. Read the full preview here.
Grayson Parker - October 24, 2026, 3:38 PM EDT
6 minutesAtlanta United vs Chicago Fire Game Preview
Competition | Major League Soccer |
|---|---|
Game Date | Saturday, October 24, 2026 |
Game Time | 7:30 PM ET / 4:30 PM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Atlanta, Mercedes-Benz Stadium |
Our Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire prediction leans toward the visitors, who carry the shortest moneyline price at +147 (Polymarket) into Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday.
Atlanta United host this one in their penultimate home game of the regular season, needing points just to keep their postseason hopes mathematically alive under Gerardo Martino.
Chicago have already clinched a playoff berth under Gregg Berhalter, giving them back-to-back postseason appearances for the first time since 2009. Now they want a top-four finish and home-field advantage.
The hosts do have history on their side. Atlanta are undefeated in their last 7 home games against Chicago in all competitions, which gives a struggling team something to cling to.
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Recent Results
Atlanta's slump is real. A Lionel Messi brace sank them 3-1 at home last weekend, and they have won just two of their last nine league games. Miguel Almirón remains the busiest outlet on the right, but finishing chances is the sticking point for a team that loves to shoot from range.
Chicago arrive on back-to-back MLS defeats, the latest a narrow road loss at New England Revolution after Matt Polster's early opener. Even so, they sit fourth in the Eastern Conference. They have won 3 of their last 10 games against all opponents, with Maren Haile-Selassie and Robert Lewandowski leading a front line that thrives on attacking down the wings.
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlanta United: Will Reilly (Injured/out)
Chicago Fire: R. Lod (Injured/out), A. Franco (Injured/out), S. Rogers (Injured/out), Jack Elliott (Suspended)
Atlanta United
Will Reilly is Atlanta's only confirmed absentee, which is about as clean a bill of health as Gerardo Martino could ask for at this stage of the year. Cooper Sanchez and Matt Edwards could both be recalled, and both feature in the probable XI.
Chicago Fire
Jack Elliott is suspended after crossing the yellow card accumulation threshold, and Chicago also have three injuries to deal with. The good news for Gregg Berhalter is that left back Noah Allen could return, and he slots into the probable Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire lineups below.
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Predicted Lineup
Atlanta United
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: L. Hoyos; E. Báez, J. Alonso, P. Díaz, M. Edwards; G. Galoppo, M. Amaro, C. Sanchez; A. Miranchuk, B. Embolo, M. Almirón
Chicago Fire
Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: C. Brady; N. Allen, M. Mbokazi, A. Hanche-Olsen, L. Barroso; J. Bamba, A. Salétros, D. D'Avilla, P. Zinckernagel; R. Lewandowski, M. Haile-Selassie
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Key Stats & Game Facts
- There have been 27+ shots taken in 4 of the last 5 meetings between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer).
- Atlanta United have scored at least 2 goals in their last 7 home games against Chicago in all competitions.
- Hugo Cuypers has scored in 9 of his last 10 appearances (Major League Soccer).
- Joel Waterman has been carded in 3 of his last 4 appearances (Major League Soccer).
- Maren Haile-Selassie has recorded 1+ shots on target in 6 of his last 6 appearances against Atlanta United (Major League Soccer).
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Chicago get the nod. Our projections make the Fire the favorite with a 42% win probability, and their wide attack lines up nicely against an Atlanta defense that struggles with counter attacks and through balls. Atlanta will create enough at home to make this a messy, open game, but the Fire have more quality in the final third. The Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire betting odds have the hosts at +182 (Polymarket), and that price doesn't tempt us.
Best Picks
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Both sides have goals in them, with Atlanta United and Chicago Fire each projected to score. In the Both Teams To Score market, Yes is where we land. Our projections put both sides finding the net at 66%, and Atlanta's home attack has enough about it to hold up its end while Chicago's wide play does the rest.
Total Goals Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals. The model projects a high-scoring match. This one sits in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Our projected total is 3.36 goals. Over 2.5 has also landed in 12 of Atlanta's last 15 MLS games, so we take this line rather than reaching any higher.
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Same Game Parlay
Our Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Same Game Parlay picks stack four player props: Miguel Almirón for shots and shots on target, Maren Haile-Selassie to score and Tomas Jacob to be carded.
Miguel Almirón Over 2.5 Player Shots: he has attempted 3+ shots in each of his last five MLS outings, and Atlanta's love of long shots keeps feeding him volume.
Maren Haile-Selassie Anytime Goalscorer: three goals from his last four MLS appearances have him paired with Robert Lewandowski up top for the favorites.
Miguel Almirón Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target: he's found the target in all five of his last five MLS games, a natural partner for the volume leg.
Tomas Jacob To Be Shown A Card: this prop has landed twice over his past three outings, and an aggressive Chicago side should keep the referee busy.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Talking Points
Gerardo Martino said a full week of training let his staff fine-tune attacking instincts and midfield chemistry with a nearly complete squad. That midfield could get Cooper Sanchez back, and the Homegrown midfielder was named to the MLS 22 Under 22 list. On the other side, Robert Lewandowski has led Chicago's attack since joining in July 2026 after his FC Barcelona contract expired. The real battle is out wide. Chicago's best weapon is attacking down the wings, and Atlanta have had trouble defending skillful players, so the hosts' full backs face a long night.
Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire Predictions FAQs
What time is the Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire MLS game?
The game kicks off at 7:30 PM ET / 4:30 PM PT on Saturday, October 24, 2026.
Where is Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire being played?
The game is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What formations are expected for Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire?
Atlanta United are listed in a 4-3-3 formation and Chicago Fire in a 4-4-2, based on probable lineup data.
Who is missing for Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire?
For Atlanta United, W. Reilly is injured. For Chicago Fire, R. Lod, A. Franco and S. Rogers are injured and J. Elliott is suspended.
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