Croatia vs. Italy Picks, Odds, Lineups for EUFA Euro 2024
Croatia and Italy play a crucial matchup in Group B later this afternoon to decide who will be going to the knockout stages. Which team holds the advantage? Jason Radowitz shares his Croatia vs. Italy odds, picks, and lineups for EUFA Euro 2024.
Jason Radowitz
| 5 min
Croatia vs. Italy Picks, Odds, Lineups for EUFA Euro 2024
Croatia vs. Italy Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: Monday, June 24, 2024
- Start Time: 3:00 pm ET
- Where to Watch: FOX
Click here for the latest Croatia vs. Italy odds
Croatia and Italy will battle in a crucial matchup in Group B with the chance to secure their spot in the knockout stage.
Croatia already lost to Spain, 3-0, and tied Albania 2-2 in their second matchup of the Group Stage after allowing a goal in the 95th minute. Heading into today's game against Italy, Croatia is on life support.
Meanwhile, Italy was severely outplayed by Spain in their last game. Despite the 1-0 loss, Italy didn't execute very well and were probably lucky they only lost 1-0.
Check out the Croatia vs Italy odds and betting data for today's game below.
Croatia vs. Italy Odds and Betting Data
RESULT | ODDS | IMPLIED CHANCE |
|---|---|---|
Croatia Win | +215 | 31.75% |
Draw | +210 | 32.26% |
Italy Win | +145 | 40.82% |
Italy has a higher probability of earning a win today. They're +145 odds with an implied chance of winning currently at 40.82%.
Meanwhile, the draw has a higher probability than a Croatia win. Croatia is just +215 to win today's matchup, sitting with an implied probability of 31.75. However, a draw has a probability of 32.26% for this match.
Croatia vs. Italy Prediction
Italy manager Luciano Spalletti admitted that he made a mistake by not making changes to the lineup for Italy's matchup against Spain. He didn't want to overthink things after a win, despite the win being just 2-1 against Albania.
But after being outplayed against Spain, there will be changes made. He saw a tired Italt tea that didnt have the same pace and energy as Spain.
Italy already looks tired. There's some fatigue and rustiness showing. But ultimately, once changes are made, it will act as a wake-up call for Italy.
Therefore, I'll back Italy to earn the win and move on to the Knockout Stage.
Croatia vs. Italy Prediction: Italy (+145) (Bet $100 to collect $245) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Croatia vs. Italy Projected Lineups
Croatia projected lineup: Livaković; Stanišić, Šutalo, Pongračić, Gvardiol; Modrić, Brozović, Kovačić; Mario Pašalić, Kramarić, Sučić Misses next match if booked: Ivušić
Italy projected lineup: Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Calafiori, Dimarco; Cristante, Jorginho; Barella, Pellegrini, Chiesa; Retegui Misses next match if booked: Calafiori, Cristante, Donnarumma, Pellegrini
Croatia Euro Odds
With the potential of missing the Knockout Stage, Croatia is +6500 to win the Euro 2024. They're an aging group and no longer feared after a fun run six years ago. At this time, Croatia is +190 to qualify in Group B.
We'll know their chances after today's matchup against Italy. However, it does not look very promising.
Italy Euro Odds
With the expectation that Italy wins today, Italy is +2000 to win the Euro 2024. Italy won't win first place in Group B, but a second-place finish will at least advance Italy and give them a chance.
That said, a loss to Croatia would likely still advance Italy as a third-place team. But the road to the Final would be much more difficult.
EURO ODDS
