Portugal vs. Slovenia Picks, Odds, Lineups for EUFA Euro 2024
Portugal face off against Slovenia in the Round of 16 on Monday afternoon. Which team will advance? Jason Radowitz breaks down his Portugal vs. Slovenia picks, odds, and lineups for EUFA Euro 2024.
Jason Radowitz
| 5 min
Portugal vs. Slovenia Picks, Odds, Lineups for EUFA Euro 2024
Portugal vs. Slovenia Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: Monday, July 1, 2024
- Start Time: 3:00 pm ET
- Where to Watch: FOX
Click here for the latest Portugal vs. Slovenia odds
Portugal lost its streak of 12 consecutive wins in EURO qualifying matches after a 2-0 surprise loss to Georgia.
Before the loss, Portugal had already advanced through Group F. They made multiple changes for that game against Georgia just to see how some other lineups and formations worked out.
Obviously, it was a lesson learned for Portugal. But it seems like they've put all that behind them and are ready to face Slovenia in the Last 16.
Here are the odds and betting data for today's matchup between Portugal and Slovenia.
Portugal vs. Slovenia Odds and Betting Data
RESULT | ODDS | IMPLIED CHANCE |
|---|---|---|
Portugal Win | -270 | 72.97 |
Draw | +700 | 12.50% |
Slovenia Win | +380 | 21.28% |
Portugal has nearly a 73% chance of defeating Slovenia in regulation today, with odds at -270 to win three-way.
On the other hand, Slovenia is +380 to earn a win over Portugal in regulation, with an implied probability of 21.28%.
Finally, a draw is very unlikely, currently with odds of +700. That gives a draw the implied chance of just 12.50%.
Portugal vs. Slovenia Prediction
Slovenia has reached its first knockout phase at a major tournament. They did it with draws in all three matchups in the group stage, including a 0-0 finish against England.
In addition, Slovenia literally beat Portugal 2-0 a few months ago in a friendly match. Many key players were rested in that game, but that has to give Slovenia some confidence heading into today's game.
Expect Slovenia to play mostly defense with limited chances to score. Portugal will hold possession for much of the game and should at least score a couple of goals against Slovenia.
Portugal will use the Georgia loss as a wake-up call and hold off Slovenia.
Portugal vs. Slovenia Prediction: Portugal -1.5 (-105) (Bet $105 to collect $205) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Portugal vs. Slovenia Projected Lineups
Portugal projected lineup: Diogo Costa; Cancelo, Rúben Dias, Pepe, Nuno Mendes; Palhinha, Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes; Rafael Leão, Ronaldo, Bernardo Silva Suspended: none Misses next match if booked: Ronaldo, Francisco Conceição, João Palhinha, Pedro Neto, Rúben Neves
Slovenia projected lineup:Oblak; Karničnik, Drkušić, Bijol, Balkovec; Stojanović, Elšnik, Gnezda Čerin, Mlakar; Šporar, Šeško Suspended: Janža Misses next match if booked: Bijol, Celar, Stojanović, Vipotnik
Portugal Euro Odds
Portugal is currently fifth on the odds board to win the Euro 2024. They're behind England, Germany, Spain, and France. Meanwhile, England, Germany, and Spain have already advanced to the quarterfinals. Portgual is also +400 to reach the Final and +140 to enter the Semi-Final.
Slovenia Euro Odds
Meanwhile, Slovenia has the worst odds to win the Euro 2024. They're currently +25000, thanks to their matchup against Portugal today. Slovenia has never experienced the Last 16. Therefore, they're projected to lose today and be eliminated.
EURO ODDS
