Who is favored to win Best Actor 2024?
Who is favored to win Best Actor at the 2024 Oscars? Will it be Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Bradley Cooper, or someone else? We have the latest 96th Academy Awards Best Actor odds.
OddsChecker - March 5, 2024, 5:44 PM EST
5 minOscars best actor 2024
Actor | Movie | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
Cillian Murphy | Oppenheimer | -2000 | 95.24% |
Paul Giamatti | The Holdovers | +500 | 16.67% |
Bradley Cooper | Maestro | +1500 | 6.25% |
Jeffrey Wright | American Fiction | +5100 | 1.92% |
Colman Domingo | Rustin | +5100 | 1.92% |
Based on the odds and implied probabilities presented in the table, Cillian Murphy is heavily favored to win the Best Actor award at the 2024 Oscars for his performance in Oppenheimer. With odds of -2000, which translates to a 95.24% implied probability, Murphy is the clear frontrunner in this category. His closest competitor, Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers), has odds of +500 and a 16.67% chance of winning, while the other nominees, Bradley Cooper (Maestro), Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction), and Colman Domingo (Rustin), have considerably lower chances of securing the award. Although upsets can happen, the data strongly suggests that Cillian Murphy is the most likely to take home the Best Actor trophy in 2024.
Best actor odds by Sportsbook
Here are the tables with the odds for the top contenders for Best Actor at the 2024 Oscars, including an implied probability column:
Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer):
Sportsbook | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
DraftKings | -1000 | 90.91% |
FanDuel | -1400 | 93.33% |
BetMGM | -1000 | 90.91% |
Caesars | -800 | 88.89% |
bet365 | -1000 | 90.91% |
Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers):
Sportsbook | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
DraftKings | +500 | 16.67% |
FanDuel | +600 | 14.29% |
BetMGM | +550 | 15.38% |
Caesars | +450 | 18.18% |
bet365 | +550 | 15.38% |
Bradley Cooper (Maestro):
Sportsbook | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
DraftKings | +1600 | 5.88% |
FanDuel | +1700 | 5.56% |
BetMGM | +1400 | 6.67% |
Caesars | +1500 | 6.25% |
bet365 | +1400 | 6.67% |
These tables further illustrate that Cillian Murphy is the strong favorite to win Best Actor, with implied probabilities ranging from 88.89% to 93.33% across the sportsbooks. Paul Giamatti and Bradley Cooper have much lower implied probabilities of winning the award.
Previous Best Actor winners
Year | Actor | Movie |
|---|---|---|
2023 | Brendan Fraser | 'The Whale' (2022) |
2022 | Will Smith | 'King Richard' (2021) |
2021 | Anthony Hopkins | 'The Father' (2020) |
2020 | Joaquin Phoenix | 'Joker' (2019) |
2019 | Rami Malek | 'Bohemian Rhapsody' (2018) |
2018 | Gary Oldman | 'Darkest Hour' (2017) |
2017 | Casey Affleck | 'Manchester By the Sea' (2016) |
2016 | Leonardo DiCaprio | 'The Revenant' (2015) |
2015 | Eddie Redmayne | "The Theory of Everything' (2014) |
2014 | Matthew McConaughey | "Dallas Buyers Club' (2013) |
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