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Who is the favorite to win Best Actress at the Oscars?

The Academy Awards are only a few days away. Who is the favorite to win Best Actress at the Oscars? Read on to find out.

OddsChecker - March 5, 2024, 5:29 PM EST

5 min

Oscars best Actress odds

Actress 

Odds 

Implied Probability 

Lily Gladstone 

+144 

40.98% 

Emma Stone 

+200 

33.33% 

Sandra Huller 

+1700 

5.56% 

Carey Mulligan 

+2600 

3.70% 

Anette Bening 

+3400 

2.86%

In the lead-up to the 2024 Academy Awards, all eyes are on the Best Actress category, which boasts a diverse and talented group of nominees. However, one performance stands out above the rest: Lily Gladstone's portrayal in Martin Scorsese's "Killers of the Flower Moon." 

Gladstone, who would make history as the first Indigenous performer to win Best Actress, has been the talk of the town this awards season. With odds of +144 and an implied probability of 40.98%, she is the clear favorite to take home the coveted statuette. Critics have raved about her performance, describing her as the emotional core of the film and praising her ability to convey depth and nuance through subtle expressions and gestures. 

The other nominees, while undeniably talented, face an uphill battle against Gladstone's momentum. Emma Stone ("Poor Things") comes in second with odds of +200 and a 33.33% chance of winning, followed by Sandra Hüller ("Anatomy of a Fall") at +1700 and 5.56%, Carey Mulligan ("Maestro") at +2600 and 3.70%, and Annette Bening ("Nyad") at +3400 and 2.86%. 

As the awards season draws to a close, Gladstone's powerful performance and the groundswell of support she has received from her peers and critics alike make her the one to beat. With her moving speeches and undeniable talent, it seems all but certain that Lily Gladstone will make history on Oscar night and cement her place among the greats of the silver screen. 

Sportsbook odds for Best Actress Oacar winner

Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) 

Sportsbook 

Odds 

Implied Probability 

DraftKings 

-125 

55.56% 

FanDuel 

-125 

55.56% 

BetMGM 

-125 

55.56% 

bet365 

-120 

54.55%

Emma Stone (Poor Things) 

Sportsbook 

Odds 

Implied Probability 

DraftKings 

+100 

50.00% 

FanDuel 

-125 

55.56% 

BetMGM 

-120 

54.55% 

bet365 

-120 

54.55%

Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall) 

Sportsbook 

Odds 

Implied Probability 

DraftKings 

+3500 

2.78% 

FanDuel 

+1900 

5.00% 

BetMGM 

+3300 

2.94% 

bet365 

+4000 

2.44%

Carey Mulligan (Maestro) 

Sportsbook 

Odds 

Implied Probability 

DraftKings 

+5000 

1.96% 

FanDuel 

+3700 

2.63% 

BetMGM 

+5000 

1.96% 

bet365 

+5000 

1.96%

Annette Bening (Nyad) 

Sportsbook 

Odds 

Implied Probability 

DraftKings 

+5000 

1.96% 

FanDuel 

+4500 

2.17% 

BetMGM 

+5000 

1.96% 

bet365 

+5000 

1.96%

List of the previous best Actress Oscar winners

Actress 

Year 

Movie 

Michelle Yeoh 

2023 

Everything Everywhere All at Once 

Jessica Chastain 

2022 

The Eyes of Tammy Faye 

Frances McDormand 

2021 

Nomadland 

Renée Zellweger 

2020 

Judy 

Olivia Colman 

2019 

The Favourite 

Frances McDormand 

2018 

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 

Emma Stone 

2017 

La La Land 

Brie Larson 

2016 

Room 

Julianne Moore 

2015 

Still Alice 

Cate Blanchett 

2014 

Blue Jasmine

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