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Who is favorite to win Best Director at the Oscars?

Who is the favorite to win Best Director at the 2024 Oscars? Is it Christopher Nolan, Yorgos Lanthimos, or someone else? Take a closer look at the latest Best Director odds for this year's Academy Awards.

OddsChecker - March 6, 2024, 10:08 AM EST

5 min

Best Director winner at the Oscars 

Director 

Odds 

Implied Percentage 

Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer 

-2000 

95.24% 

Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things 

+2500 

3.70% 

Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flowers Moon 

+3400 

2.78% 

Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest 

+4000 

2.38% 

Justine Triet - Anatomy of a Fall 

+9700 

1.01%

Christopher Nolan 

As the race for the Best Director Oscar at the 2024 Academy Awards heats up, Christopher Nolan's "Oppenheimer" emerges as the clear frontrunner. With odds of -2000 and an implied probability of 95.24%, Nolan's chances of securing the coveted prize are nearly unbeatable. His recent victory at the Directors Guild Awards (DGA) further solidifies his position, as the DGA winner has historically gone on to claim the Best Director Oscar in all but eight cases. 

Yorgos Lanthimos 

However, Nolan's fellow nominees are not to be underestimated, despite their longer odds. Yorgos Lanthimos, the visionary behind "Poor Things," comes in second with odds of +2500 and an implied probability of 3.70%. Lanthimos's unique style and ability to craft surreal, thought-provoking narratives have earned him a dedicated following and critical acclaim. 

Close behind Lanthimos is the legendary Martin Scorsese, whose film "Killers of the Flowers Moon" has earned him odds of +3400 and an implied probability of 2.78%. Scorsese's masterful direction and ability to elicit powerful performances from his cast have made him a perennial favorite at the Oscars. 

Jonathan Glazer 

Jonathan Glazer, the director of "The Zone of Interest," finds himself in fourth place with odds of +4000 and an implied probability of 2.38%. Glazer's haunting exploration of the human condition and his ability to create visually striking, emotionally resonant films have earned him a place among the year's best directors. 

Justine Triet 

Rounding out the nominees is Justine Triet, whose film "Anatomy of a Fall" has defied expectations with its inclusion in the Best Director category. Despite having the longest odds at +9700 and an implied probability of just 1.01%, Triet's nomination is a testament to her skill as a filmmaker and the impact of her work. 

While the odds may heavily favor Christopher Nolan, the Best Director category is a celebration of the incredible talent and diversity within the film industry. Each nominee has brought their unique vision and style to the table, creating a roster of films that have captivated audiences and critics alike. As the awards ceremony approaches, all eyes will be on these five exceptional directors, eagerly awaiting the moment when one of them will make history and claim the Best Director Oscar.

Sportsbooks odds

Director (Film) 

DraftKings 

FanDuel 

BetMGM 

bet365 

Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) 

-5000 

-2000 

-3000 

-3300 

Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things) 

+1600 

+1800 

+1100 

+1200 

Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon) 

+2200 

+2900 

+2000 

+2000 

Justin Triet (Anatomy of a Fall) 

+2500 

+3400 

+2500 

+2500 

Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest) 

+3500 

+1800 

+5000 

+4000

Previous winners Best director Oscar

Year 

Director 

Movie 

2023 

Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert 

Everything Everywhere All at Once 

2022 

Jane Campion 

The Power of the Dog 

2021 

Chloé Zhao 

Nomadland 

2020 

Bong Joon-ho 

Parasite 

2019 

Alfonso Cuarón 

Roma 

2018 

Guillermo del Toro 

The Shape of Water 

2017 

Damien Chazelle 

La La Land 

2016 

Alejandro González Iñárritu 

The Revenant 

2015 

Alejandro González Iñárritu 

Birdman 

2014 

Alfonso Cuarón 

Gravity

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