2024 Best Actor Oscar Odds: Cillian Murphy Given 90% Chance to Win The Oscar
The 2024 Oscars will take place on Sunday night, and all eyes will be on Cillian Murphy and Oppenheimer. Can he take home the best actor award over Paul Giamatti and Bradley Cooper? Let's take a look at the latest odds for the 2024 Best Actor Oscar.
Peter Alexis - March 10, 2024, 2:30 PM EDT
5 min2024 Best Actor Oscar Odds: Cillian Murphy Given 90% Chance to Win The Oscar
The 2024 Oscars Awards will go live on Sunday night, and Oppenheimer is expected to dominate the lineup. Christopher Nolan's film about the Manhattan project has an incredible 13 nominations, one shy of the all-time record.
The star of the show in Oppenheimer is Cillian Murphy, who plays Dr. Robert Oppenheimer. Murphy gave an incredible performance as the brilliant physicist, and has been nominated for the Best Actor award in recognition.
Murphy is heavily favored to take home the prize, but there are still a few contenders including Paul Giamatti from The Holdovers who could pull an upset. Let's take a look at the latest Best Actor odds for the 2024 Oscars and see who has a shot.
2024 Best Actor Oscar Odds
Best Actor | Odds |
|---|---|
Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer | -1000 |
Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers | +1000 |
Bradley Cooper - Maestro | +2500 |
Colman Domingo - Rustin | +10000 |
As seen from the table, Cillian Murphy is rightfully favored with -1000 odds. Oppenheimer is expected to bring home a haul of awards, and Best Actor is one of the most likely wins. The odds give Murphy an 90% implied probability, which is even higher at some sportsbooks.
His biggest competition is the aforementioned Giamatti, who trails with the second-best odds. But even in second place, he has a less than 10% chance of pulling the upset. Another star in contention is Bradley Cooper, who has been nominated three times for this award before. He has longshot odds of +2500, and would need a miracle to upset Murphy this time around.
Previous Best Actor winners
Year | Actor | Movie |
|---|---|---|
2023 | Brendan Fraser | 'The Whale' (2022) |
2022 | Will Smith | 'King Richard' (2021) |
2021 | Anthony Hopkins | 'The Father' (2020) |
2020 | Joaquin Phoenix | 'Joker' (2019) |
2019 | Rami Malek | 'Bohemian Rhapsody' (2018) |
2018 | Gary Oldman | 'Darkest Hour' (2017) |
2017 | Casey Affleck | 'Manchester By the Sea' (2016) |
2016 | Leonardo DiCaprio | 'The Revenant' (2015) |
2015 | Eddie Redmayne | "The Theory of Everything' (2014) |
2014 | Matthew McConaughey | "Dallas Buyers Club' (2013) |
Murphy has yet to win a best actor award, but he is highly-regarded in the industry and fits in well with this group of previous winners. He has been in movies for a long time, but didn't become a household name until his role as Tommy Shelby in the TV series Peaky Blinders. He has risen to the top of stardom with his performance in Oppenheimer, and is expected to be rewarded heavily for it.
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OSCARS ODDS
