Next James Bond Odds: Jacob Elordi Spikes to New Favorite After Rumored Offering of Bond Role
Callum Turner has surged in the Next James Bond race, but can he hold the lead as we wait for the decision to be made by director Denis Villeneuve? Peter Alexis breaks down the odds race for the Next James Bond actor after Daniel Craig was killed off in No Time to Die.
Peter Alexis - February 19, 2026, 12:55 PM EST
4 Minute ReadNext James Bond Odds: Who Will Take Over for Daniel Craig in Denis Villenueve's Bond 26?
The race to become the next James Bond has taken a dramatic turn. Just one day after markets appeared stable, new rumors surfaced suggesting that Jacob Elordi may have been informally offered the iconic role. While nothing has been confirmed and the reports remain speculative, prediction markets reacted immediately.
For the first time in months, Callum Turner has lost the lead. Elordi has surged to the top of the Kalshi board at 43%, while sportsbook odds now list him around +125. Turner has dropped sharply to 28%, surrendering a position he had held continuously since November. The market reaction shows interest in the rumor, but not full confidence, signaling continued uncertainty in the Bond casting process.
Think you know who will take over as James Bond? Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Next James Bond Odds
Next James Bond Odds: Who will take over for Daniel Craig
Jacob Elordi (43%) Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Elordi’s rise has been swift and headline-driven. The Australian actor, known for Saltburn, Euphoria, and The Kissing Booth, fits the profile of a younger Bond who could carry the franchise for more than a decade. At 43% on Kalshi, he now holds the strongest probability in the field, though the number suggests traders are still cautious about the credibility of the rumors.
If the reports prove accurate, Elordi would represent a clear generational shift for the franchise. His youth, global recognition, and growing dramatic résumé make him a compelling long-term investment for producers aiming to relaunch Bond for a new audience.
Callum Turner (28%) Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Turner’s fall to 28% marks his first time trailing the field since late autumn. He previously climbed as high as 66% in early January, establishing himself as the clear frontrunner for months. The sudden reversal highlights how sensitive this market is to even unconfirmed casting chatter.
Despite the drop, Turner remains firmly in contention. His recent momentum was built on consistent speculation tying him to the role, and unless stronger confirmation around Elordi emerges, the race could tighten again quickly.
Josh O’Connor (22%) Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Josh O’Connor continues to linger just behind the leaders, maintaining relevance without major volatility. Known for The Crown and a range of dramatic performances, he brings the refined British presence traditionally associated with Bond.
His probability suggests the market views him as a credible alternative if leading rumors collapse. In a casting process defined by secrecy, steady positioning can be just as meaningful as dramatic spikes.
Aaron Taylor-Johnson (12%) Bet on the Next James Bond with Kalshi Here
Once near the top of the market, Taylor-Johnson has slipped into a secondary position at just 12%. Earlier enthusiasm tied to his action credentials and franchise readiness has cooled as attention shifted elsewhere. Still, his profile remains extremely viable.
He brings proven blockbuster experience and sits within the traditional age range for a long-running Bond tenure. If the current frontrunners falter, Taylor-Johnson is the most logical candidate to rebound quickly.
More of oddschecker
