US Open Odds: Can Anyone Upset Novak Djokovic? Bettors Don't Think So

No Roger Federer. No Rafael Nadal. The 2021 US Open is lacking some star power. Novak Djokovic is 3-for-3 in Grand Slams this season, can he win all four? The public is betting on it.
Brian Good
Sat, August 28, 9:35 AM EDT

US Open Odds: Can Anyone Upset Novak Djokovic? Bettors Don't Think So

  • Men's US Open odds
  • Novak Djokovic the most backed option at the 2021 US Open
  • Full US Open betting data

Novak Djokovic is in the middle of a historic season of tennis. He's tied Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer for the most men's tennis Grand Slams ever in a career and he's gone 3-for-3 in Grand Slams. This week, he starts his quest to not only win all four Grand Slams in a calendar year but also make it an unprecedented 21 for his career.

Making it even more likely that Djokovic wins the US Open this year is the fact that both Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal will not be participating in the US Open. And, as a result, Novak Djokovic's US Open odds have him as the odds-on favorite.

Can Anyone stop Novak Djokovic from going 4-for-4 and becoming the men's all-time leader in Grand Slams in a career? According to the latest US Open betting data, the betting public certainly doesn't think so.

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US Open Odds - Men's Tournament

The "next generation" of tennis has long been discussed. We have been so used to the dominance of Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer that we've become conditioned to expect them to win or compete in every single tournament.

But, both Nadal and Federer are getting up there in age and will likely retire in the coming years. So, now we're getting a look at what the future of tennis looks like and it's completely dominated by Novak Djokovic.

Earlier this year, Novak Djokovic won his ninth Australian Open, followed it by upsetting Rafael Nadal in the semifinals of the French Open and winning that tournament, and then went on to take Wimbledon by storm.

Now, the latest US Open odds have him massively favored. Right now, Novak Djokovic's US Open odds sit at -139.

Not only is he odds-on, but he has an implied probability of 58.2%. That means if you had the option to bet on Djokovic to win or any other player in the field, you should be picking Djokovic.

US Open odds have Daniil Medvedev as the second favorite, sitting at +425. Medvedev is followed by Alexander Zverev, who has odds of +600.

Stefanos Tsitsipas, who met Djokovic in the French Open Final and was defeated, is the fourth favorite to win the US Open at +1000.

Tennis Player US Open Odds Implied Probability
Novak Djokovic -139 58.2%
Daniil Medvedev +425 19%
Alexander Zverev +600 14.3%
Stefanos Tsitsipas +1000 9.1%
Andrey Rublev +3300 2.9%

Click here for complete US Open men's odds

US Open Betting - Men's Tournament

It's surely no surprise that, according to the latest US Open betting data, Novak Djokovic is far and away the most heavily backed option.

Since the US Open betting markets opened, it's been easy to predict this outcome. After aff, Djokovic has been the pre-tournament favorite to win every Grand Slam this year, with the exception of the French Open, which favored Rafael Nadal.

But, for the US Open, 27.18% of all futures bets have come in backing Djokovic to win. Alexander Zverev is the second most backed option at 19.06, then Daniil Medvedev at 9%.

Tennis Player Public Betting %
Novak Djokovic 27.18%
Alexander Zverev 19.06%
Daniil Medvedev 9%
Hubert Hurkacz 5.74%
Matteo Berrettini 5.03%

US Open Information - Men's Tournament

Start Date: Monday, August 30

US Open Final Date: Sunday, September 12

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium

How to Watch: ESPN & ESPN+

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