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Will Michelle Obama Run for President? Michelle Obama’s Democratic Candidate Odds Slashed

Will Michelle Obama run for President in 2024? Her Democratic Candidate odds got slashed. Check out Michelle Obama's latest odds to win the Democratic nomination.

Michelle Obama Speech

OddsChecker

| 5 min

Will Michelle Obama Run for President? Michelle Obama’s Democratic Candidate Odds Slashed

UK oddsmakers have cut Michelle Obama’s odds of being the Democratic Candidate in 2024 to the lowest since the betting market opened in 2020.

At odds of +400, some UK sportsbooks are giving Michelle Obama a 20% implied chance to win the candidacy.

Looking back to the start of 2024, Obama’s odds had been as big as +1600 in the betting (implied chance of 5.9%).

Over the past seven days, Obama has been the most popular bet on Oddschecker for the Democratic Candidacy, amassing 39.8% of all bets placed.

Joe Biden remains the odds-on favorite for the candidacy, however, his odds have drifted from -350 (80% chance) to -250 (71% chance) since the start of 2024.

Furthermore, Biden’s odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election are at their worst since the market opened in 2020, currently standing at +250.

Donald Trump is the odds-on favorite with most UK sportsbooks, at an average odds of -110 to be elected President in 2024.

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LATEST 2024 Democratic Candidate ODDS

2024 Democratic Candidate

UK Odds

Implied % Chance

Joe Biden

-250

71.4

Michelle Obama

400

20

Gavin Newsom

700

12.5

Kamala Harris

1200

7.7

Elizabeth Warren

5000

2

LATEST 2024 Presidential Election Winner ODDS

2024 Presidential Election Winner

UK Odds

Implied % Chance

Donald Trump

-110

52.4

Joe Biden

+250

28.6

Michelle Obama

+800

11.1

Gavin Newsom

+1200

7.7

Kamala Harris

+2500

3.8

Quote from Oddschecker’s Leon Blackman: “UK oddsmakers continue to improve Michelle Obama’s chances of being the Democratic Candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election. Having been odds of +1600 at the start of January, Obama’s odds now stand at just +400! The shift in odds represents an implied % change from 6% to 20% to be the Democratic Candidate, in the eyes of UK sportsbooks.  

Biden, on the other hand, has seen his odds worsen in both the Democratic Candidate and the US Presidential Election winner. UK sportsbooks have listed his odds at +250 to be re-elected for POTUS, these represent the worst odds he’s had since the betting market opened in 2020! In 2024, Biden has taken only 23% of bets on Oddschecker to be the Democratic Candidate, compared to 44% for Michelle Obama.” 

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