Donald Trump Presidential Odds: Trump Given 50% Chance to Win Presidency
Super Tuesday will decide many of the exciting primary races remaining on the path to the Republican nomination, and Donald Trump is currently dominating the field. He is already sitting with favorable odds to become the next U.S. President, so let's take a look at his chances as the race heats up.
Peter Alexis - March 5, 2024, 3:30 PM EST
5 minDonald Trump Presidential Odds: Trump Given 50% Chance to Win Presidency
Donald Trump is sporting even odds according to the latest UK betting sites to reclaim the presidency later this year. He has opened up a fairly wide gap against Joe Biden as the primaries continue, and he is sporting an ever-increasing margin of victory in the Republican race.
Trump will take centerstage on Tuesday night as a wave of 15 critical states will cast their Republican primary votes. He has dominated so far, and will look to take an insurmountable lead against Nikki Haley in key races.
Let's take a look at the latest US Presidential odds and see where Trump stands in the race on Super Tuesday.
2024 Election Odds
Candidate | Implied Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 50% | +100 |
Joe Biden | 29.4% | +240 |
Michelle Obama | 10% | +900 |
Gavin Newsom | 5.9% | +1600 |
Kamala Harris | 4.8% | +2000 |
Robert Kennedy Jr. | 3.8% | +2500 |
Trump has implied odds of exactly 50% to become the next U.S. President, according to the latest odds out of the UK. He has opened up a sizable lead over Joe Biden, who trails back at +240 odds, giving him just a less than 30% chance to stay in the White House. Biden has many concerns, including his declining health, that are working against him in the court of public opinion right now.
Many Americans are additionally displeased with his policies, and have lost faith in him to advance the country. He has a lower approval rating than Trump ever had in his four years, which is setting off alarm bells and tanking his odds. Biden previously led the field coming into 2024, but Trump's momentum coupled with bad press for the incumbent has flipped the script. Michelle Obama is the third-leading candidate, who some speculate could take over the race in lieu of Biden later this year. She has an outside shot at 10%, but has yet to publicly express interest in running.
2024 Election Betting Percentages
Candidate | Percentage of Bets (%) |
|---|---|
Donald Trump | 33.13 |
Joe Biden | 12.75 |
Michelle Obama | 6.47 |
Robert Kennedy Jr. | 2.06 |
Gavin Newsom | 1.95 |
Donald Trump is currently leading the betting percentage by a heavy margin. Regardless of the odds, many bettors and pundits are wagering their funds on Trump to return to the White House and emerge victorious in November.
Trump is riding a major wave of momentum into Super Tuesday, where he hopes to all but wrap up the Republican nomination. He has won every primary except for Washington D.C. so far, and nearly all candidates have dropped out besides Nikki Haley. Haley doesn't even crack the top five in betting percentage here, as she is just about finished in this face. The third-most tickets after Trump and Biden go to Michelle Obama, who some speculate could be used to replace Joe Biden if he is unable to continue in the race due to health issues.
