2024 Presidential Election Odds: Donald Trump Now Sizable Favorite After First Debate
The first Presidential debate was last night with Donald Trump debating Joe Biden. Trump is now the sizable favorite after the first debate. Jason Radowitz breaks down the latest 2024 presidential election odds.
Jason Radowitz - June 28, 2024, 10:45 AM EDT
5 min2024 Presidential Election Odds: Donald Trump Now Sizable Favorite After First Debate
Most of America is worried about what's to come in the future. Despite the many lies told by Donald Trump in last night's presidential debate, America is more likely to vote for Donald Trump after President Biden looked unwell and was unable to hold his own last night.
Take a look and compare the odds before the debate and the odds this morning for Biden and Trump to be elected as president in 2024.
Trump vs. Biden Election Odds Before
Presidential Candidate | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | +163 | 38% |
Donald Trump | +120 | 46% |
Before the debate, Trump had taken the lead over Biden to become the next president of the United States. The odds continued to run in his favor up to the first presidential debate.
From above, you can see that the best odds for Trump to become president on the board were +120. Meanwhile, Biden's best odds were +163. Some people might've thought this was an arbitrage bet. But now, Biden might have to be left off the ballot.
The democrats wanted this debate and asked for it. However, Biden was not up to the challenge. While Biden had some good substance, he struggled to get the substance out and looked unwell at times.
That had the democratic party calling for Gavin Newsom or even Michelle Obama to take over as the next democratic leader.
Trump vs. Biden Election Odds This Morning
Presidential Candidate | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | +400 | 20% |
Donald Trump | -175 | 64% |
Although former President Trump didn't do an outstanding job during last night's debate, because of how poorly President Biden did, Trump jumped 16 percentage points and is now -175 to become the next president of the United States.
Unless the Democrats get Biden to step down for a different candidate, it's looking more and more likely that President Trump will win this year's election.
