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Australian Open Odds: Roberto Bautista Agut New Favorite to Reach Australian Open Semifinals

With the Australian Open underway, oddsmakers have updated their odds for who will reach the semifinals. Kyle Newman is here to break down the updated odds and his prediction for Roberto Bautista Agut.
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Australian Open Odds: Roberto Bautista Agut New Favorite to Reach Australian Open Semifinals

The bottom quarter of the Australian Open is as wide open as any in recent grand slam history. Entering the third round, only one seeded player remains, and the top-four seeded players in the quarter have all been eliminated. So who’s the favorite to escape that quarter now? It’s the Spaniard Roberto Bautista Agut who’s favored to reach a grand slam semifinal for only the second time in his career.

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Agut is given +325 odds, or an implied 23.5% chance to reach the semifinal. He’s followed by three Americans in Tommy Paul, +440, JJ Wolf, +550, and Jenson Brooksby, +550. Two other Americans, Ben Shelton, and Michael Mmoh are given the worst odds to advance from the quarter at +1100 and +2500, respectively.

Andy Murray, the only player from the quarter who has been to a grand slam final, is given +650 odds. Meanwhile, the only Australian left in the quarter, Alexei Popyrin, is given +800 odds to win the quarter.

Can an American reach the semifinal of a grand slam for a second straight grand slam? Frances Tiafoe did at the US Open, and now Americans make up five of the final eight in the bottom quarter. Still, sportsbooks don’t believe it’s in the cards with Bautista Agut, the favorite. Can the young Americans finally break through?

Australian Open 4th Quarter Winner Odds

PlayerOddsImplied chance
Roberto Bautista Agut+32523.5%
Tommy Paul+44018.5%
JJ Wolf+55015.4%
Jenson Brooksby+55015.4%
Andy Murray+65013.3%
Alexei Popyrin+80011.1%
Ben Shelton+11008.3%
Michael Mmoh+25003.8%

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