Oddschecker+
Positive EV Bets
Odds format
United States
Canada
OH
United States
Canada
Shavkat Rakhmonov Fight

Geoff Neal vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov Odds: 79% of Bets on Geoff Neal to Upset Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 285

Geoff Neal vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov odds and betting breakdown. UFC 285 features a riveting welterweight matchup between Geoff Neal and Shavkat Rakhmonov. Johnny Covers breaks down the odds.

Johnny Covers - March 4, 2023, 8:42 AM EST

5 min

Geoff Neal vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov Odds: 79% of Bets on Geoff Neal to Upset Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 285

On March 4th at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, UFC 285 will feature a riveting welterweight matchup between Geoff Neal and Shavkat Rakhmonov. In one of the most competitive divisions in MMA, both competitors want to move up the rankings and make a statement.

The planned date for this fight was January 14th; however, Neal withdrew due to a late injury. It was rescheduled for UFC 285, which will feature a heavyweight title fight between Jon Jones and Ciryl Gane as its main event and potentially be the card of the year. 

Let's take a closer look at both fighters and where the odds market is headed. 

Click here for $5000 worth of sports betting bonuses to use for Neal vs. Shavkat or any other fight at UFC 285!

Geoff Neal vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • When: March 4, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM EDT
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • Where to Watch: PPV

Click here for Neal vs Rakhmonov odds

Geoff Neal vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov Breakdown

Geoff Neal (15-4-0)

Coming into Saturday, Neal has seven victories in nine UFC fights, including knockout victories over Vicente Luque, Mike Perry, Niko Price, and Frank Camacho. Stephen Thompson ended Neal's seven-fight winning streak in 2020, but since then, wins against Luque and Santiago Ponzinibbio have shown that Neal is back on track.

Neal weighs 170 lbs. and has some of the heaviest hands in the division. Neal is a southpaw kickboxer who prefers to attack with both his left hand and left kick, but he has also shown himself to be a skilled counterpuncher, as evidenced by his nine knockout victories.

Shavkat Rakhmonov (16-0-0)

In his 16 professional fights, Rakhmonov, an unbeaten prospect, has won eight via submission and eight by knockout. In his four UFC fights, he has made an impression, most recently finishing Neil Magny last year.

Rakhmonov is a master of both combat Sambo and mixed martial arts. That translates into being exceptionally talented in every single area in the cage. He can dominate opponents with his wrestling, is a vicious kickboxer with vicious knees and kicks, and specializes in grabbing the neck during exchanges. Being so well-rounded has its advantages since it allows Rakhmonov to change his strategy effectively.

Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Odds

Fighter

Odds

Implied Chance

Shavkat Rakhmonov

-500

83.3%

Geoff Neal

+400

20%

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov

Sportsbooks everywhere opened up these odds by making the undefeated Rakhmonov the expectedly large favorite, coming at -435 across the board. The underdog, Neal, came in closer to +350. Since then, the market has largely come in on the favorite, pushing up to at least -500 everywhere as of Thursday. For underdog backers, DraftKings has the best number posted at +400.

Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Odds & Public Betting Data

Fighter

% Bets

% Handle

Shavkat Rakhmonov

21%

74%%

Geoff Neal

79%

26%

Geoff Neal is a pretty sizeable underdog against one of the most hyped fighters in the UFC, Shavkat Rakhmonov, but that hasn;t stopped bettors from wagering on Neal to win.

According to BetMGM, a whopping 79% of all bets on Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov odds are backing Neal to win. However, it's a different story when you follow the money. 79% of the handle is on Rakhmonov to remain unbeaten.

How To Bet On Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov

Now that we’ve given you all the odds and betting data you need to wager on Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov, let’s dive into the best betting promo available.

onboarding-background

Join the oddschecker Community

Bet with Intelligence

Sign-up for an oddschecker account to get expert picks, ai-driven betting tools and best odds across sportsbooks.