Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Prediction: Should You Fade MacKenzie Gore, Nationals?

It's the second game in the series for the Marlins and Nationals. Should you fade MacKenzie Gore and the Nationals today? Josh Gayle breaks it down.

Josh Gayle - May 17, 2023, 12:00 PM EDT

5 min

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Prediction: Should You Fade MacKenzie Gore, Nationals?

This one feels right. Let's dive straight into my pick, prediction, and odds for this MLB matchup.

Marlins vs. Nationals Start Time and Where to Watch

Date: Wednesday, May 17, 2023
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Prediction

1u - Miami Marlins o1.5 F5 Team Total -135 is currently the best odds. Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

This feels mispriced. MacKenzie Gore is who we are fading here, and he has allowed 2+ runs in five of his last seven starts. On top of that, he faces a Miami Marlins team who are absolutely tearing the ball off against lefties. Miami is batting .292 against lefties, absolutely insane!

If you don’t have this market, I also love Gore o4.5 Hits Allowed. I took some time weighing between those two but ultimately went this way. Miami seems to be ascending, and their offense with guys like Luis Arraez, Jorge Soler, and Bryan De La Cruz makes me feel confident, even without Jazz Chisholm Jr. being healthy.

This is such a soft number against Gore, who still has much more to prove. Gore’s earned run prop is correctly set at 2.5, and it’s implied he goes six innings. I’ll take my chances for one less run needed for one less inning. One walk or hit and then a deep drive will cash us here, let's roll!

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