Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
The best MLB home run bets for Thursday from handicapper Jason Radowitz. There are just four MLB games on the slate today, but we still need our home run prop picks. Check out who Jason is backing to go yard tonight.
Jason Radowitz - August 31, 2023, 9:33 AM EDT
3 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
There are just four games on the MLB slate tonight. The Yankees and Nationals play at 1:10 pm ET, and the Giants haven't even confirmed a starter for tonight's game. We're not working with much tonight. But I've still added three home run props to consider for tonight's slate of games in the MLB.
August 31 Best MLB Home Run Props
Josh Bell to Hit a Home Run (+480) via FanDuel
Josh Bell will bat from the left side tonight. He's hit a .297 ISO and wOBA of .339 against his last 71 right-handed pitchers. Tonight, he'll take on Joan Adon of the Nationals, who has allowed a .257 ISO and wOBA of .341 to his previous 36 lefties. Adon has allowed a .261 ISO and wOBA of .332 to 48 lefties this season. Meanwhile, Bell has slugged 36.4% of fly balls and 36.4% of line drives, with over 61.4% of hard contact against righties in the last 30 days. Take Bell to knock one out of the park tonight.
Jazz Chisholm to Hit a Home Run (+360) via FanDuel
Let's stay in the same game. As I acknowledged above, Joan Adon is awful against lefties. He's allowed 35.7% of fly balls to his last 36 lefties while only inducing 32.1% of grounders over the previous month. He's also struck out just 19.4% of lefties and has allowed over 57% of hard contact in that same time against lefties. Chisholm has smashed a .231 ISO and wOBA of .354 against his last 68 righties. The left-handed slugger has also hit 30.4% of fly balls and 30.4% of line drives in the previous 30 days. The middle of the Marlins' order has much potential tonight.
Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+340) via FanDuel
I don't love fading Lance Lynn right now. But there aren't many spots to work with tonight. Lance Lynn has still allowed a .273 ISO and wOBA of .339 to his last 58 righties. Meanwhile, the Braves have hit a .235 ISO and wOBA of .388 against righties using their projected lineup over the last month. Austin Riley is one of the reasons. He's he a .247 ISO and wOBA of .362 against his last 95 righties. The right-handed power bat has also hit 35% of fly balls and 35% of line drives, with nearly 57% of hard contact against righties. Any right-handed bat in the Braves lineup has potential against Lynn. But Riley stands out the most.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Josh Bell to Hit a Home Run (+480) (Bet $100 to collect $580)
- Jazz Chisholm to Hit a Home Run (+360) (Bet $100 to collect $460)
- Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+340) (Bet $100 to collect $440)
