Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Do you need plus-money MLB player props for Thursday night's slate of games? Jason Radowitz provides his best home run bets for today. Read on to find out which players have the best chance at hitting the long ball on September 7.
Jason Radowitz - September 7, 2023, 9:17 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
We're hot again!
Luis Rengifo came through at +680 odds with a home run against Kyle Gibson in the third inning, as projected!
Let's keep the hot streak going!
September 7 Best MLB Home Run Props
Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+430) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Julio Rodriguez is a right-hander who destroys right-handed pitching. He's smacked a .378 ISO and wOBA of .499 against his last 87 righties while only striking out 16.1% of the time.
He'll take on Zack Littell of the Rays, who has allowed a .339 ISO and wOBA of .402 to his last 58 righties. Littell has struggled more against righties throughout the season, giving up a .203 ISO and wOBA of .363 to 142 righties this year.
Meanwhile, Rodriguez has hit over 29% of fly balls and line drives while hitting nearly 68% of hard contact over the last month against righties. Let's give him a shot tonight.
Marcell Ozuna to Hit a Home Run (+340) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Pick your right-handed bat in the Braves' lineup tonight.
I'll take Ozuna, who has smacked a .299 ISO and wOBA of .468 against his last 86 righties.
The Braves are facing Adam Wainwright, who has casually allowed a .375 ISO and wOBA of .540 to his last 42 righties.
Ronald Acuna and Austin Riley are the two other right-handed bats you can consider. Ozuma has a .299 ISO, Riley has a .244 ISO, and Acuna has a .267 ISO. So I'll ride with Ozuna. But any of those three have lots of potential tonight.
Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+560) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Luis Rengifo hit a bomb at +680 odds last night. I'm not afraid of the big odds. When there's value, there's value.
Seiya Suzuki has value. He's hit a .425 ISO and wOBA of .503 against his last 79 righties. Suzuki has also struck out under 14% of the time in the previous 30 days against righties.
He's a right-handed bat, hitting over 25% of fly balls and line drives while also hitting nearly 45% of hard contact.
Meanwhile, he'll face Ryne Nelson of the Diamondbacks, who has allowed a .533 ISO and wOBA of .629 to his last 16 batters. This season, against 540 batters, he's given up a .234 ISO and wOBA of .370.
Nelson has been wrong all year long. Suzuki has all of the potential in the world to go yard. At +560, I'll take that gamble.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
- Marcell Ozuna to Hit a Home Run (+340) (Bet $100 to collect $430)
- Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+560) (Bet $100 to collect $660)
MLB Odds
