Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
We've got a full slate of games in the MLB tonight. Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB home run bets for Tuesday. Tail these plus-money MLB player prop bets for September 12.
Jason Radowitz - September 12, 2023, 9:10 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday
We've got a full slate of games in the MLB tonight.
There are three home run props that I've added to my betting portfolio. Let's cash!
September 12 Best MLB Home Run Props
Alex Bregman to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbooks has the best odds for this pick
Alex Bregman has smashed a .306 ISO and wOBA of .516 against his last 45 lefties. He's also struck out just 13.3% of the time against lefties in that period.
Tonight, he'll take on J.P. Sears of the Athletics. The left-hander has watched his last 93 righties hit a .238 ISO and wOBA of .408. Sears has allowed 34.4% of fly balls from righties in the previous 30 days.
Meanwhile, he's only induced 29.5% of ground balls and has struck out under 21% of batters in the last month.
The entire Astros team has value tonight. But Bregman looks like the juiciest option.
Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+430) Click here to see which sportsbooks has the best odds for this pick
Seiya Suzuki has smashed a .377 ISO and wOBA of .468 against his last 83 righties. That's a solid sample size for a righty against another righty.
He'll face Chris Flexen of the Rockies, who has allowed his last 53 righties to hit a .320 ISO and wOBA of .428.
Flexen has only struck out 5.7% of righties in 30 days. He's also allowed nearly 45% of hard contact and has earned just 7.9% of swinging strikes.
However, the right-hander has been good against lefties over the last month, holding lefties to a .292 wOBA.
Suzuki is the only right-handed batter with potential in the Cubs lineup tonight. Let's bank on him to hit one out of the yard.
Jose Ramirez to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbooks has the best odds for this pick
Jose Ramirez has knocked a .351 ISO and wOBA of .482 against his last 42 lefties. Ramirez is a switch-hitter, but he'll bat right-handed against the lefty Sean Manaea tonight.
Manaea has watched his last 46 righties hit a .268 ISO and wOBA of .363 over the previous month. His strikeouts are lower against righties, and his line drives are higher against righties.
Manaea has allowed 48.4% of line drives to righties in the last 30 days.
The Guardians' offense doesn't have much potential against lefties. But Ramirez has some. A solo shot would do.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Alex Bregman to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
- Seiya Suzuki to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
- Jose Ramirez to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
MLB Odds
