Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Adolis Garcia came through last night to help us earn another home run prop at +360!
It's a shame that the regular season is about to conclude. But we'll still have plenty of prop articles when the postseason rolls around.
We won't get to attack terrible pitchers.
Enjoy these last few days!
September 28 Best MLB Home Run Props
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+360) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a .258 ISO and wOBA of .376 against his last 75 righties. He'll face Luke Weaver of the Yankees, who has allowed a .267 ISO and wOBA of .404 to 283 righties this season.
Over the last 30 days, Weaver has allowed a .158 ISO and wOBA of .316 to righties. But he's also struck out just 10% of righties while rarely earning swinging strikes or whiffs.
Guerrero Jr. has struck out 13.3% of the time against righties and has hit over 41% of hard contact. I'll take my chances.
Brandon Belt to Hit a Home Run (+400) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
I'll stay in the same game.
Brandon Belt is hitting right behind Vladimir Guerrero Jr. tonight. A little back-to-back action never hurt anyone!
Belt has slugged a .300 ISO and wOBA of .335 against his last 11 right-handed batters.
Meanwhile, Weaver has allowed a .225 ISO and wOBA of .378 to his last 45 lefties and has given up a .238 ISO and wOBA of .374 to 262 lefties faced this season.
Belt has hit 33.3% of fly balls and line drives and 50% of hard contact over the last 30 days against righties. Give him a chance to hit a long ball tonight.
Cody Bellinger to Hit a Home Run (+425) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds for this pick
The Cubs need to start winning games.
It starts with Cody Bellinger.
Bellinger has hit a .167 ISO and wOBA of .326 against his last 83 righties. He's struck out only 14.5% of the time and will take on a rookie pitcher in AJ Smith-Shawver.
Smith-Sawver has allowed a .372 ISO and wOBA of .444 to 51 lefties this season. He's also given up 38.2% of fly balls and has induced only 20.6% of ground balls against lefties this year.
He doesn't have a high strikeout rate against lefties, either.
Bellinger has hit 25.8% of fly balls and line drives against righties over the last month. He's also hit 50% of hard contact.
The Cubs need Bellinger to perform over the next four days. Let's see if he can go yard in this tremendous potential spot.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Hit a Home Run (+360) (Bet $100 to collect $460)
- Brandon Belt to Hit a Home Run (+400) (Bet $100 to collect $500)
- Cody Bellinger to Hit a Home Run (+425) (Bet $100 to collect $525)
MLB Odds
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.