Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday's Conference Games
Which players can hit the long ball on tonight's MLB postseason slate? Jason Radowitz answers with his best MLB home run bets. Tail these plus-money MLB player prop bets for Friday's conference games.
Jason Radowitz - October 20, 2023, 9:18 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday's Conference Games
There are two postseason games on the MLB slate tonight.
No matter what happens with today's matchups, we'll still have more baseball over the weekend. No team will be sent home tonight.
That said, we've got a Game 4 between the Phillies and Diamondbacks that features lower-tier starters, while the Astros-Rangers will send out their aces.
With our home run props, the Phillies-Diamondbacks game seems like a better target despite both teams adding just three runs yesterday.
October 20 Best MLB Home Run Props
Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+500) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
It's unclear how long the Phillies expect to throw Christoper Sanchez. But it sounds like he'd go a full five innings if unscathed.
Sanchez is a left-handed starter who allowed a .213 ISO and wOBA of .331 to 316 righties this season. He can get a lot of ground balls and limit fly balls. However, he's still only struck out 21.8% of righties this season.
The lefty has also allowed 49.4% of hard contact to righties while giving up a 9.4% barrel percentage.
Christian Walker is a right-handed bat, hitting a .667 ISO and wOBA of .609 against his last seven lefties. Walker has also struck out no times against those seven lefties and should put the ball in play against Sanchez.
Let's take a chance on Walker to go deep.
Alec Bohm to Hit a Home Run (+800) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
I love the value on the Phillies tonight.
Lefty Joe Mantiply will get the start for the Diamondbacks. They'll essentially play a bullpen game for Game 4 of the NLCS.
Bohm has slugged a .438 ISO and wOBA of .407 against his last 19 lefties. He's also struck out 10.5% of the time against lefties in the previous 30 days.
You'd figure Mantiply will only pitch one inning. But if a Phillies batter gets on, Bohm, who will bat cleanup, should have an opportunity to face Matniply in the first inning. At +800, with an ISO of .438, you bet I'll take a chance on Bohm.
Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run (+600) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
It doesn't matter who is pitching for the Diamondbacks against Castellanos.
Castellanos has hit a .596 ISO and wOBA of .506 against his last 52 righties. He's also hit a .308 ISO and wOBA of .459 against his last 16 lefties.
Castellanos will have a matchup edge regardless. If the Diamondbacks try and use their entire bullpen, Castellanos will get a chance to face some of the lower-tier pitchers that Arizona has to offer.
He's locked in right now. Let's take a chance with Castellanos to hit another homer in the postseason.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Christian Walker to Hit a Home Run (+500) (Bet $100 to collect $600)
- Alec Bohm to Hit a Home Run (+800) (Bet $100 to collect $900)
- Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run (+600) (Bet $100 to collect $700)
MLB Odds
