Best MLB Strikeout Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday's LCS Games
Best MLB Strikeout Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday's LCS Games
We could have our World Series matchup by the end of tonight. While there are some excellent starting pitchers on the slate tonight, each pitcher could have a tight leash. If something isn't going right, that pitcher will be yanked out of the game almost instantly. There's no room for error right now. So, how should we bet strikeout props for tonight's baseball slate? I've got the answers below.
October 23 Best MLB Strikeout Props
Merrill Kelly Under 5.5 Ks (-136) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
I know Merrill Kelly got six strikeouts against the Phillies in his first NLCS matchup. But he also allowed three home runs and four runs while walking three and giving up another three hits. Kelly has struck out just 22.6% of batters in the last month. That's below his season's average of 25.8%. So, while he's taking on a Phillies lineup that has struck out 24.7%, I'm not entirely worried, knowing that the Phillies have also hit a .269 ISO and wOBA of .360. If Kelly gets into trouble, he won't last very long in Philadelphia. He'll get rattled and then taken out of the game. Back Kelly's Under.
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Ks (-134) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Meanwhile, Aaron Nola added seven strikeouts against the Diamondbacks in six innings of work. At home, he allowed three hits and no runs. He also didn't walk a batter and earned ten ground balls while giving up only five fly balls. That kind of effort will keep Nola in for a quality start. Nola has struck out 16 batters in his last 11.2 innings. In the previous 30 days, he's struck out 29.3% of batters. However, he's struck out only 25.3% of batters this season. His strikeout rate is going up, and he's also facing eight Arizona batters who have struck out at least 20% of the time against righties in the last 30 days. If anyone throws a quality game tonight in the MLB, it'll be Nola at home.
Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Ks (-125) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Max Scherzer typically doesn't perform at a high level in the postseason. He usually allows many fly balls and gives up timely home runs that ruin his team's chances at winning games. But the Rangers traded for him for one reason. That reason was to win games like this one. Scherzer can push the Rangers into the World Series with a dominant start. I don't think he'll do that. Scherzer allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .414 to 18 batters against the Astros in Game 3. He also struck out only 22.2% of batters, with four strikeouts in four innings. In those four innings, he allowed five earned runs on five hits and gave up a home run. The Astros have hit a .198 ISO and wOBA of .342. But they've got five players hitting an ISO of at least .170. I'm worried for Scherzer. I don't think he makes it through five innings. Take his Under.
Best MLB Strikeout Prop Bets Today
- Merrill Kelly Under 5.5 Ks (-136) (Bet $136 to collect $236)
- Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Ks (-134) (Bet $134 to collect $234)
- Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Ks (-125) (Bet $125 to collect $225)
MLB Odds
Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.