Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday's World Series Game 3
Which players can hit the long ball in World Series Game 3? Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB home run bets. Lock in this expert's best plus-money MLB player prop bets for Monday's World Series game.
Jason Radowitz - October 30, 2023, 10:00 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday's World Series Game 3
After Texas earned Game 1 of the World Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks stole Game 2, pushing the series to 1-1 as we head into Game 3.
The Diamondbacks now have home-field advantage, with three consecutive home games on the schedule before having to head back to Texas. Can Arizona slug themselves ahead of the Rangers in Game 3 of the World Series?
Here are three home run props to consider for tonight's matchup.
October 30 Best MLB Home Run Props
Alek Thomas to Hit a Home Run (+900) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Let's start with a long shot.
Alek Thomas will likely hit 7th in the lineup for Arizona tonight. However, he's hit a .300 ISO and wOBA of .367 over the last 30 days against righties.
Tonight, he'll take on Max Scherzer of the Rangers, who has allowed a .370 ISO and woBA of .467 to 30 batters in the postseason.
Scherzer has given up 50% of fly balls with 73.3% of hard contact when the ball is in play against righties.
Thomas has slugged 27.6% of fly balls and line drives, with a 10.3% barrel percentage. I'll take a chance of the sneaky power from Thomas.
Adolis Garcia to Hit a Home Run (+300) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
You can't not take Adolis Garcia anymore. The man is on a mission in the postseason.
Garcia has hit a .431 ISO and wOBA of .498 against his last 63 righties. He's also struck out only 22.2% of the time against righties while hitting 29.5% of line drives and fly balls.
The right-handed hitter has also smacked 56.8% of hard contact and has a barrel percentage of 22.7% in the last 30 days against righties.
He'll face Brandon Pfaadt of the Diamondbacks. Pfaadt is a right-handed pitcher, allowing a .229 ISO and wOBA of .321 to his last 37 righties. While he's got a high strikeout rate, Pfaadt has allowed 47.8% of fly balls and has induced only 34.8% of ground balls to righties in the last 30 days.
Garcia is always live to hit a home run.
Josh Jung to Hit a Home Run (+430) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
There's one more righty in the Texas lineup that has power against righties. That's Josh Jung.
Jung is a rookie third baseman, hitting a .250 ISO and wOBA of .372 against his last 59 righties. He's also smacked 35.1% of fly balls and line drives while hitting a 59.5% hard hit rate. Beyond that, Jung has hit a 13.5% barrel percentage.
Pfaadt has allowed a 17.4% barrel percentage to righties in the last month. Although Jung could strike out multiple times against Pfaadt, if he connects, he could send one over the fence.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Alek Thomas to Hit a Home Run (+900) (Bet $100 to collect $1000)
- Adolis Garcia to Hit a Home Run (+300) (Bet $100 to collect $400)
- Josh Jung to Hit a Home Run (+430) (Bet $100 to collect $530)
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MLB Odds
