Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Tuesday's World Series Game 4
The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Texas Rangers for Game 4 of the World Series on Tuesday night. They fell short in a low-scoring Game 3, but can the home runs get going on Halloween night? Jason Radowitz gives us his best home run picks for Game 4.
Jason Radowitz - October 31, 2023, 10:05 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday's World Series Game 4
We're headed to Gave 4 of the World Series. Last night's game didn't have much offense, with the Rangers earning a 3-1 victory. However, Corey Seager hit a two-run homer in the third inning for the only home run of the night. Tonight's game will be a little different. Both teams will likely go with a bullpen game. While Andrew Heaney will start for the Rangers, it's unlikely he throws five innings for the Rangers. They'll probably try and get five innings with Heaney and Dane Dunning if I had to guess. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks could throw seven pitchers in tonight's matchup with their bullpen game. So, when looking for home runs, we have to pick the hottest bats tonight without knowing many matchups down the line.
October 31 Best MLB Home Run Props
Gabriel Moreno to Hit a Home Run (+830) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
There's so much value here. Gabriel Moreno has hit a .500 ISO and wOBA of .518 against his last 14 lefties. He'll likely bat third in tonight's game against the Rangers, meaning he'll face off against a lefty in Andrew Heaney to begin the game. Heaney has allowed a .235 ISO and wOBA of .366 with no strikeouts against his last 20 righties faced. But even after that first at-bat, if Moreno has to face righties from there on out, he's still hit a .158 ISO in the last 30 days against righties.
Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+470) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Ketel Marte is a switch-hitter, giving him an advantage no matter who is on the mound tonight. Marte has hit a .167 ISO and wOBA of .338 against his last 25 lefties. He's also hit a .256 ISO and wOBA of .426 against his last 40 righties faced. He'll obviously face Heaney in the first at-bat of the game. Again, Heaney has struggled against righties in the last 30 days and has allowed 50% of hard contact with just 3.4% of swinging strikes. The left-hander has also allowed an 11.1% barrel percentage to righties in the last month. Marte's got the edge.
Mitch Garver to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Mitch Garver came incredibly close to hitting a home run last night. He'll be in the same position to go long on a ball tonight. Garver has hit a .200 ISO against his last 45 righties. He's also hit a .600 ISO and wOBA of .954 against his last five lefties. Garver will face Joe Mantiply in the first inning if he bats third in the batting order. Mantiply has been good against righties, but Garver's potential against lefties is sky-high.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Gabriel Moreno to Hit a Home Run (+830) (Bet $100 to collect $930)
- Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+470) (Bet $100 to collect $570)
- Mitch Garver to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
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MLB Odds
