Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday's World Series Game 5
The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Texas Rangers for Game 5 of the World Series on Wednesday night. Their comeback effort fell short in a high-scoring Game 4, but will there be more home runs tonight as they sit with their backs to the wall? Jason Radowitz gives us his best home run picks for World Series Game 5.
Jason Radowitz - November 1, 2023, 9:29 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Wednesday's World Series Game 5
This could be the final home run article until next year.
The Texas Rangers are one game away from winning the World Series over the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Although we've got two aces on the mound for Game 5, there are still some spots to consider for home run props.
I've got you covered below.
November 1 Best MLB Home Run Props
Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+420) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
Zac Gallen will take the hill for the Diamondbacks tonight. He's a right-handed pitcher who has struggled against lefties over the last 30 days.
Gallen has given up a .292 ISO and wOBA of .445 to his last 57 lefties. He's also allowed 35.9% of fly ball contact and 25.6% of line drives to those same 57 lefties.
Meanwhile, Corey Seager has hit a .404 ISO and wOBA of .473 against his last 57 righties faced. Seager has struck out only 12.3% of the time while hitting 42.5% of fly balls and line drives in the previous 30 days against righties.
This is the perfect matchup for the likely World Series MVP. A home run in this game would be the icing on the cake.
Nathaniel Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+700) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
I love the value here.
Nathaniel Lowe has hit a .234 ISO and wOBA of .315 against his last 51 righties. He's also smacked 45.2% of fly balls and line drives while hitting 45.2% of hard contact and a barrel percentage of 19.4% in the last month against righties.
He'll take on Gallen, who, again, has struggled against lefties over the last month. Gallen has struck out only 17.5% of lefties in the previous 30 days and has allowed 41% of hard contact to lefties in that same time.
When Lowe makes contact, he's putting the ball in the air against righties. Let's take a chance at a +700 for a power slugger.
Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+520) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
I know Nathan Eovaldi has been terrific in the postseason. But he actually struggled against the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of the World Series.
Eovaldi went just 4.2 innings in that start and gave up five runs. He can be got.
The veteran righty has allowed a .156 ISO and wOBA of .352 to his last 49 lefties. Meanwhile, Ketel Marte will bat from the left side as a switch-hitter against the righty.
Marte has hit a .244 ISO and wOBA of .433 and has been the most consistent bat in the Arizona lineup in the playoffs.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Corey Seager to Hit a Home Run (+420) (Bet $100 to collect $520)
- Nathaniel Lowe to Hit a Home Run (+700) (Bet $100 to collect $800)
- Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+520) (Bet $100 to collect $620)
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MLB Odds
