St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Prediction: Can Yu Darvish, Padres Bounce Back?

The St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres play the second game of their series. Can Yu Darvish and the Padres bounce back after falling behind in the series? Hollywood Picks shares his St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres prediction.

Hollywood Picks - April 2, 2024, 9:15 AM EDT

5 min

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Prediction: Can Yu Darvish, Padres Bounce Back?

Today the St. Louis Cardinals travel to San Diego to take on a tough Padres squad. This is the second game of their series and it kicks off behind Miles Mikolas and Yu Darvish. The Cardinals went 1-3 in their first series of the season at the Los Angeles Dodgers, meanwhile the Padres split 2-2 when they took on the San Francisco Giants at home.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres DATE, TIME, AND WHERE TO WATCH

Date: April 2, 2024
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
Where to Watch: MLB Extra Innings

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

The pitching matchup for this game should favor the Padres in addition to them being at home tonight. Using the 2023 data, Darvish ranks better than Mikolas in K-BB percentage (17.1% to 11.4%), batting average (.256 to .278), and xFIP (3.92 to 4.76). Darvish has appeared in one game this year going 5.0 IP with 1 ER.

Mikolas on the other hand, really struggled in his first appearance, allowing 5 ER to the Dodgers in 4.1 IP. Additionally, Darvish actually performed slightly worse than expected when looking at his FIP compared to xFIP whereas Mikolas was the opposite for 2023.

Looking at the small sample size that is the 2024 season, the Padres have performed better at the plate as well. The Padres are currently hitting the fifth highest batting average in the league at .297, with the Cardinals in dead last at .173. This is also the case with OPS% with the Padres in 6th and the Cardinals in last.

I'm going to take the hot bats and better pitcher at home with a price I feel is a little off. This number currently sits at -135 which would imply that the Padres have a 57.4% probability to win. I think we are getting some great value on this and will be riding with the Padres tonight.

Padres Moneyline (-135) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds

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