Best MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Which players will hit the long ball today? Jason Radowitz shares his best MLB player prop bets for Thursday. Profit with these MLB home run bets.
Jason Radowitz - April 4, 2024, 9:45 AM EDT
5 minBest MLB Home Run Bets: Lock In This Expert's Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Thursday
Jack Suwinski (+340) and Yordan Alvarez (+260) came through for us last night! How about that!
We've nailed three home run props in two days! Although tonight's slate is small, we'll look to keep the streak going with three home run props today!
April 4 Best MLB Home Run Props
Lane Thomas to Hit a Home Run (+540) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Lane Thomas is unstoppable against lefties.
Dating back to last year, Thomas hit a .236 ISO and wOBA of .406 against lefties in 197 plate appearances. He'll face Pittsburgh's Martin Perez, a lefty with only 15.1% of strikeouts against righties using last year's and this year's stats.
Perez allowed a .175 ISO and wOBA of .353 to his last 489 righties. He's also given up 44% of hard contact and rarely earns whiffs.
Meanwhile, Thomas has smacked 27.5% of line drive contact and 49% hard contact against lefties. He's got plenty of potential for a home run tonight.
Jack Suwinski to Hit a Home Run (+300) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
Let's go back to Jack Suwinski today. I called his breakout home run yesterday, and now I think he's got another chance for a home run today.
Suwinski smacked a .265 ISO and wOBA of .363 against his last 411 plate appearances against right-handers.
Today, he'll face Josiah Gray of the Nationals, who was absolutely rocked in his season debut. While Gray should elevate his game and earn more strikeouts, the runs should still pile on to some degree.
Gray allowed a .727 ISO and wOBA of .693 to his first 12 lefties of the season. Suwinski is Pittsburgh's most powerful lefty.
Willson Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+450) CLICK HERE TO SEE WHICH SPORTSBOOK HAS THE BEST ODDS
The Cardinals' catcher will take on Ryan Weathers of the Miami Marlins. Weather is a left-handed pitcher who allowed a .228 ISO and wOBA of .400 to his last 193 righties faced.
Against those 193 righties, Weathers has struck out only 14.5% of them and has allowed nearly 29% of fly balls with only 38% of ground balls induced.
Meanwhile, Willson Contreras, a righty, has hit a .236 ISO and wOBA of .394 in his last 125 plate appearances against righties. In those plate appearances, he's smashed 55.6% of hard contact and has hit a 13.6% barrel percentage. Contreras has also limited ground balls to below 36% against righties.
We'll take Contreras to go deep tonight.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets Today
- Lane Thomas to Hit a Home Run (+540) (Bet $100 to collect $640)
- Jack Suwinski to Hit a Home Run (+300) (Bet $100 to collect $400)
- Willson Contreras to Hit a Home Run (+450) (Bet $100 to collect $550)
MLB ODDS
